It’s a loaded 12-game slate on the ice Thursday, and our top NHL player props have you covered for all the action.
A showdown between the Vegas Golden Knights and Boston Bruins in the early wave kicks off the busy night with a pair of contenders in the Stanley Cup odds going toe-to-toe. Additionally, a battle for first place in the Central Division will take place between the Winnipeg Jets and the Dallas Stars, while the marquee matchup in the late window features the Los Angeles Kings looking to snap a two-game losing streak in a Pacific Division bout with the Vancouver Canucks.
There are also a handful of mismatches with the Carolina Hurricanes, Toronto Maple Leafs, Florida Panthers, and Colorado Avalanche all huge favorites in the NHL odds.
Here are our free NHL picks for the busy schedule on Thursday, February 29.
NHL prop picks and best bets for February 29
- Jenner Under 0.5 points (-115 at Bet99)
- Burns Over 2.5 shots (-110 at Bet99)
- Foligno Under 0.5 points (-140 at Bet99)
Picks made on February 29 at 2:00 p.m. ET.
Read full analysis of each pick.
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Today’s NHL prop picks and best bets
Prop bet #1: No boom for Boone
The Carolina Hurricanes are an elite defensive team with the seventh-fewest goals against per game (2.73), and goalie Pyotr Kochetkov sports a red-hot .940 save percentage and 1.71 GAA while allowing two goals or fewer in six of eight starts since returning from a concussion and AHL stint. It all adds up to Columbus Blue Jackets center Boone Jenner’s scoring woes to continue.
Jenner returned from a jaw injury on January 19, and he’s only marked the scoresheet in five of 14 games since. He put up an impressive five goals and three assists during a five-game point streak during the run, but a quick peek at his game log showcases a string of weak defensive opponents. Carolina is just the opposite and is pacing the league in five-on-five Corsi For percentage (57.5%) while allowing the fewest expected goals per 60 minutes (2.03) out of the All-Star break.
Finally, I’m targeting these Boone Jenner odds because this is also a tough schedule spot for the Blue Jackets. Columbus lost 4-1 to the New York Rangers at Madison Square Garden on Wednesday, while the Hurricanes were already in Columbus following their 3-2 road win over the Minnesota Wild on Tuesday.
Boone Jenner prop: Under 0.5 points (-115 at Bet99)
Prop bet #2: Banking on Burns
The Columbus Blue Jackets are on the second leg of a back-to-back set with travel, and they’ve allowed the sixth-most shot attempts to defensemen this season and the fifth-most across their past 10 games. As a result, this sets up as the perfect schedule spot for Carolina Hurricanes defenseman Brent Burns to snap out of his recent shooting funk.
Burns has registered a pedestrian six shots across his past six games despite racking up 38 attempts, and his per 60 numbers showcase a clear case of a high-volume shooter just failing to hit the net.
| Brent Burns | Shots per 60 | Attempts per 60 |
|---|---|---|
| Past six games | 2.72 | 17.21 |
| First 53 games | 6.9 | 19.36 |
I value these Brent Burns odds because of the pending statistical correction ahead of his shooting efficiency paired with the tough schedule spot for the Blue Jackets. Additionally, Burns ranks third among regular defensemen in five-on-five Corsi For percentage (60.6%), so I anticipate him having enough shooting opportunities with Columbus sporting a 22nd-ranked 48.1% mark.
Brent Burns prop: Over 2.5 shots (-110 at Bet99)
Prop bet #3: Fading Foligno
Chicago Blackhawks veteran Nick Foligno is cooking along his best stretch of the season with 10 points through his past 12 games, and he’s found the scoresheet in nine of those contests. Still, his 2.69 points per 60 minutes during the stretch are way above the 1.45 mark he posted through the first 40 games, and I’m expecting him to cool down considerably in short order.
Foligno projects to skate in a third-line role, and he’s been matching up against the opposition’s scoring lines in each of the past three Chicago home games. That’s bad news for his scoring upside Thursday because the Colorado Avalanche are rolling of late with just 1.47 goals per 60 minutes allowed at five-on-five and 11 total across the past five games.
In particular, Foligno should match up against Avs superstar Nathan MacKinnon for a good chunk of the night, and MacKinnon sports a 55.4 Corsi For percentage with a 58.3 goals for percentage at five-on-five this season. I also value these Nick Foligno odds because the Avalanche have their full defense corps healthy and rounding back into top form, which is affirmed by the improved defensive numbers.
Nick Foligno prop: Under 0.5 points (-140 at Bet99)
Not intended for use in MA.
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