Penguins vs Flyers Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight's NHL Playoffs Game 6

Neil Parker - Analyst at Covers.com
Neil Parker • Betting Analyst 16+ years betting experience
Updated: Apr 29, 2026 , 06:16 PM ET • 3 min read

Parker's prediction: Christian Dvorak is likely to be one of the few players to find the back of the net tonight.

NHL

Match starts: 28 mins
PIT
44 %
PHI
56 %
Read Analysis
Christian Dvorak Philadelphia Flyers NHL
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Philadelphia Flyers forward Christian Dvorak (22) handles the puck.
  • UPDATE: Added a who will win & goal scorer prediction.

The Battle of Pennsylvania rolls on, with the Philadelphia Flyers getting another shot to send Sidney Crosby and the Pittsburgh Penguins home.

My top Penguins vs. Flyers predictions and NHL picks point to a cautious start, with both teams likely easing into a slow opening frame.

Penguins vs Flyers Game 6 prediction

Who will win Penguins vs Flyers Game 6?

Flyers: The Flyers are cruising along a 17-6-1 record while allowing just 2.21 goals per game dating back to the regular season, so the margin of error is razor thin for the Penguins. I don’t think Pittsburgh can generate enough offense to win a third consecutive game because I’m anticipating Philly solving Pens goalie Arturs Silovs in Game 6.

Penguins vs Flyers best bet: First period Under 1.5 goals (+100)

Goals have been at a particular premium during the first period of this low-scoring series. 

The Pittsburgh Penguins have only scored three times in the opening frame, and the Philadelphia Flyers have been held off the scoreboard entirely.

So, while I initially leaned to the Under 5.5 (+100), I think this first-period Under is the better play because there’s always potential for an early goalie pull in an elimination game.

I also value the Pittsburgh goalie switch to Arturs Silovs. He’s sporting a rock-solid .920 save percentage with 1.75 goals saved above expected across his two starts.

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Penguins vs Flyers Game 6 same-game parlay

While I do think Silovs will play well in Game 6, his body of work suggests maintaining a .920 SV% and 0.702 GSAx per 60 minutes is asking too much. He finished the regular season with respective .887% and -0.318 marks across 39 games, after all.

Additionally, while difficult to quantify, the go-to Penguins are far older than the best players jumping the boards for the Flyers. So, I expect the physical toll of the series to catch up to Pittsburgh in its third consecutive elimination game.

Turning to the final leg of this same-game parlay, Philly defenseman Jamie Drysdale has quietly had a strong postseason and recorded two or more shots in each of the past three games while averaging a respectable 20:15 per night for the series.

Penguins vs Flyers SGP

  • Flyers moneyline
  • First period Under 1.5 goals
  • Jamie Drysdale Over 1.5 shots

Penguins vs Flyers Game 6 goal scorer pick

Christian Dvorak (+375)

This low-scoring series hasn’t been kind to goal scorers, so I’m eyeing Flyers center Christian Dvorak at a long price because he’s pacing Philly forwards in ice time and has recorded a respectable 1.49 expected goals and eight high-danger scoring chances without finding the back of the net in the series. 

In flier territory, he’s the Flyer to target.

Penguins vs Flyers odds for Game 6

  • Moneyline: Penguins +105 | Flyers -125
  • Puck Line: Penguins +1.5 (-255) | Flyers -1.5 (+200)
  • Over/Under: Over 5.5 (-120) | Under 5.5 (+100)

Penguins vs Flyers trend

The Philadelphia Flyers have won 17 of their last 25 games (+12.95 Units / 47% ROI). Find more NHL betting trends for Penguins vs. Flyers.

How to watch Penguins vs Flyers Game 6

Location Xfinity Mobile Arena, Philadelphia, PA
Date Wednesday, April 29, 2026
Puck drop 7:30 p.m. ET
TV TNT

Penguins vs Flyers latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Neil Parker - Covers
Betting Analyst

Neil Parker is, first and foremost, a sports fan. A huge supporter of the Cowboys, Cubs, and Maple Leafs, he has managed to parlay his passion into writing gigs at some of the top websites in the industry.

Neil takes a numbers-based approach to his handicapping and complements his in-depth statistical analysis with a keen eye on the markets to provide the best available odds. He loves to lean on his rolodex of idioms to offset his inner nerd. When it comes to wagering, he throws down on anything that catches his eye at bet365, Betway and BetVictor. He also keeps a close eye on CoolBet because the polar bear brand often has outlier NHL and NFL moneyline prices.

Neil graduated with honors from St. Thomas University in 2007 before completing his BEd at Acadia University in 2010. After teaching a myriad of courses and subjects, he found a groove delivering fun lessons to exceptional learners in non-traditional classroom environments. If his decade-plus teaching run taught him anything about sports betting, it’s to stay the course and use the summer – or offseason – to refresh and prepare to be better in the year to come.

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