Golden Knights vs Capitals Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NHL Game

Criscola's predictions: Home cooking for Capitals.

Robert Criscola - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Robert Criscola • Betting Analyst
Feb 27, 2026 • 13:28 ET • 3 min read

NHL

Match starts: 4 hrs
VEG
55 %
WAS
45 %
EXPERT PICK - MONEYLINE
Washington -118 Washington -118
Read Analysis
Washington Capitals NHL Connor McMichael
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Washington Capitals center Connor McMichael (24) shoots the puck.

Both the Vegas Golden Knights and the Washington Capitals came back from the Olympic break with a win, but only one will walk away with a 2-0 start to the season's unofficial second half when they meet at Capital One Arena tonight.

My Golden Knights vs. Capitals predictions and NHL picks are calling for Washington to tighten the screws on defense en route to victory on Friday, February 27.

Golden Knights vs Capitals prediction

Golden Knights vs Capitals best bet: Capitals moneyline (-118)

The Washington Capitals are 18-13 SU at home compared to 12-17 SU on the road, and the stats back up those records.

The Capitals play much stronger defense in their own building, allowing 2.77 GPG (vs. 3.07 on the road) on 27.1 shots per game (vs. 29.4). Their PK tightens up too, from 76.9% as a visitor vs. 82.1% at home.

The Caps will turn to Logan Thompson tonight, and he outranks Akira Schmid in SV% (.913 to .895). Thompson has won both his prior starts vs. the Vegas Golden Knights, posting a 2.01 GAA and .941 SV%.

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Golden Knights vs Capitals same-game parlay

Sticking with the theme of home/road splits, I'm backing both Jakob Chychrun and Connor McMichael to score a point tonight.

Chychrun has a team-leading 31 points at home vs. 16 on the road in only two fewer games. McMichael has notched 22 points at home this season compared to just nine points as a visitor, and each is a 28-game sample size.

Golden Knights vs Capitals SGP

  • Capitals moneyline
  • Jakob Chychrun Over 0.5 points
  • Connor McMichael Over 0.5 points 

Golden Knights vs Capitals odds

  • Moneyline: Golden Knights -104 | Capitals -118
  • Puck Line: Golden Knights +1.5 | Capitals -1.5
  • Over/Under: Over 5.5 | Under 5.5

Golden Knights vs Capitals trend

The Capitals have won five of their last six games. Find more NHL betting trends for Golden Knights vs. Capitals.

How to watch Golden Knights vs Capitals

Location Capital One Arena, Washington, D.C.
Date Friday, February 27, 2026
Puck drop 7:00 p.m. ET
TV Monumental SN, Scripps 66

Golden Knights vs Capitals latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Robert Criscola - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Robert M. Criscola’s road to becoming a Covers publishing editor began with an internship at Metro New York, which eventually turned into a freelance job at MetroBet covering many sports from a wagering angle, including horse racing. He continued to focus on “The Sport of Kings” by writing for shapperdacapper.com, danonymousracing.com, and informer.fanxt.com before joining the team at the TwinSpires Edge in 2019 as a regular contributor and weekend editor. “Crisco” began writing game previews for Covers in 2022 and joined the editing team in 2023.

His best advice for sports bettors? Bet with your head, not over it.

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