Flames vs Ducks Picks and Predictions: Calgary Makes Duck Soup in Anaheim

With Minnesota hot on Calgary's trail, the Flames will look to pick up two wins over the lowly Anaheim Ducks during their visit to California. See who we have covering the NHL puckline in our picks and predictions.

Apr 6, 2022 • 14:56 ET • 4 min read
Johnny Gaudreau Calgary Flames NHL
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The Calgary Flames will play their second game of the California road trip tonight as they take on the Anaheim Ducks after dealing the Kings a 3-2 defeat on Monday. The win snapped a three-game losing streak and Darryl Sutter’s group will look to stay competitive in the West against an Anaheim team that has lost 12 of its last 13 games.

Can the Flames hold off the Wild who are gunning for the No. 2 seed in the West? Can the Ducks rebound after losing six straight home games? Find out in our free NHL picks and predictions for Flames vs. Ducks.

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Flames vs Ducks odds

This odds widget represents the best odds available for each betting market from regulated sportsbooks.

The Flames opened as heavy -250 road dogs and have been gaining support as they’ve moved to -270 as of 12:30 p.m. ET. The total opened at 5.5 at some books but sits at 6.0 across the board. Calgary closed as -205 favorites in a mid-February meeting that it won 6-2 with a closing total of 5.5. That game was the second game of a back-to-back for the Flames. 

Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right until puck drop and be sure to check out the full NHL odds before betting to ensure you get the best number.

Flames vs Ducks predictions

Predictions made on 4/06/2022 at 1:30 p.m. ET.
Click on each prediction to jump to the full analysis.

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Flames vs Ducks game info

Location: Honda Center, Anaheim, CA
Date: Wednesday, April 6, 2022
Puck drop: 10:00 p.m. ET
TV: TNT, Sportsnet

Flames vs Ducks betting preview

Key injuries

Flames: Sean Monahan F (Out), Calle Jarkrok F (Questionable), Brett Ritchie F (Questionable), Oliver Kylington D (Questionable). 
Ducks: Ryan Getzlaf F (Questionable), Troy Terry F (Questionable).

Find our latest NHL injury reports.

Flames vs Ducks head-to-head record since 2018-19

Flames: 7-3 SU, 37 goals for.
Ducks: 3-7 SU, 21 goals for.

Betting trend to know

The Flames are 6-1 SU in their last seven games as a road favorite. Find more NHL betting trends for Flames vs. Ducks.

Flames vs Ducks picks and predictions

Our side and total predictions are based upon our analysis of the line and total in this game. Our best bet is our favorite pick across all markets.

Puck line analysis

The Flames shed their three-game losing streak on Monday with a 3-2 win over the Kings. It was a good way to kick off their three-game, four-day California road trip as the top team in the Pacific has another great chance to pick up two points tonight versus a struggling Anaheim team.

Since the All-Star break, the Ducks are tied with the worst winning percentage in hockey with a 4-12-3 record. This is the worst team in the Western Conference and one that has just a single win over its last 13 games.

The offense is scoring the lowest goals per game over that stretch (2.27), sports the sixth-worst GAA (3.74), has the third-worst power play (11.2%), and owns a Bottom-10 penalty kill (75%). That isn’t a small sample either and basically covers 25% of their season.

We’re not getting any price discounts here at -270 on the Calgary moneyline, but we can’t find a single thing we like about the home side tonight. 

Troy Terry will likely miss another game after dealing with that eye injury. His loss is substantial as the young winger leads the team in points, goals, and power-play goals.

Although his best days are behind him and retirement is on the horizon, Ryan Getzlaf hasn’t played in three games and is questionable for tonight as well. His loss isn’t as big as Terry’s but the veteran forward is fifth on the team in points and contributes on the power play.

The Ducks have also been horrific in the crease. John Gibson is 1-12 straight up over his last 13 starts and owns a 4.32 GAA over that stretch. Anthony Stolarz could likely get the nod though after blanking the Yotes in his last start.

Stolarz has been the better option of late but he just returned to the lineup, gets next to zero goal support, and has to face a Calgary offense that is scoring 3.70 gpg over its last 10. Not many teams have four 30-goal scorers, but the Flames do.

The Flames have been playing some competitive games of late and have seen the Kings (x2), Oilers, Blues, and Avs over their last five games — all playoff teams. The results haven’t been stellar, but getting two points versus the Ducks shouldn’t require too much of an effort.

They beat the Ducks 6-2 in Calgary in the previous meeting where they managed 43 shots on net, chased Gibson, and scored twice on the power play. 

The only thing stopping us from backing the truck up for the Flames’ moneyline is obviously the price. It’s not often we see near -300 road favorites. The Ducks closed as +180 home dogs versus the Panthers in mid-March, but they had Terry and Getzlaf healthy and Florida was on the second game of a back-to-back which can be worth 30 points. 

This price isn’t too long and we’re happy to square on the Calgary puck line. 

PredictionFlames -1.5 (+100 at bet365)

Over/Under analysis

The last meeting had a closing total of 5.5 and tonight we’re seeing a 6.0 that’s leaning to the Under. The Flames won that game 6-2 which included an empty-netter and although we could see the Flames hit the Over themselves, not knowing the goalie matchup is tough to take the Over here.

With the Flames playing tomorrow in San Jose, we could see Dan Vladar in net. Vladar hasn’t seen any action since March 19 and is 6-1 to the Over in his last seven starts. If he were to get the nod, we’d be inclined to hit the Over 6 but the market and price would likely beat us to it. If we see Vladar vs. Gibson, this total could actually hit 6.5.

However, if we see Jacob Markstrom vs. Stolarz, we wouldn’t want to be holding the Over. The Ducks can’t score and Terry sitting out makes things much worse for them. Markstrom might be the best goalie in the Western Conference and could absolutely pick up his league-leading 10th shutout if he were to start. 

Stolarz has been sneaky good when healthy as well. He owns a .921 SV% on the season and is 4-0 to the Under in his last four starts dating back to late February. The Calgary offense is a little less lethal on the road at 3.30 gpg and the California road trip can create trouble for some teams with the quick turnarounds between games. 

As it sits, we're likely laying off the total but could absolutely take a hard look at the Over 6.0 if we see Vladar vs. Gibson. Until then, it’s a lean on the Under as this matchup hasn’t seen a closing total of 6.0 since 2021. 

PredictionUnder 6 (-115 at bet365)

Best bet

The Flames’ Johnny Gaudreau has 13 goals over his last 16 games, scoring in three straight and has four goals over that stretch. He’s scoring at both even strength and with the man advantage and leads the team in goals scored, but is somehow listed with the third-lowest odds to score tonight behind linemates Elias Lindholm and Matthew Tkachuk. 

The +155 price is great value, especially against an Anaheim team that’s allowed 4.00 gpg since February 1. Johnny Hockey also had a goal and two assists versus the Ducks in the last meeting. It’s a great price for one of the hottest players in the league right now.

PickGaudreau anytime goal (+155)

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