The Conn Smythe may belong to Mitch Marner regardless of how the Stanley Cup wraps.
He's certainly the obvious choice if the Vegas Golden Knights wind up beating the Carolina Hurricanes, but it may not matter either way.
Marner scored three goals and added a helper in a wacky double-overtime victory in Game 3, and the Conn Smythe odds now have him as a massive -220 favorite.
Let's take a look at the latest NHL odds.
🏆 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy odds
| Player |  |
|---|---|
 Mitch Marner |
-220 |
 Taylor Hall |
+475 |
| Logan Stankoven |
+625 |
| Jackson Blake |
+1400 |
| Nikolaj Ehlers |
+3300 |
| Frederik Andersen |
+5000 |
Odds as of 6-7.
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Conn Smythe Trophy odds analysis
Obviously, nothing is written in stone until the job is done, but Mitch Marner looks inevitable. He scored his second hat trick of the playoffs in the Vegas Golden Knights' Game 3 win, and his 28 points are eight more than Jack Eichel, who is second in the postseason.
Another shaky outing from Frederik Andersen has rendered his chances at claiming the Conn Smythe unlikely, unless he strings together some miraculous performances down the stretch.
Conn Smythe Trophy prediction
| Bet | Odds | Bet Date | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brett Howden |
+1300 | June 5 | 1.0 |
Call this a price play, but I can't help but jump on Brett Howden at +1300. He leads the playoffs in goals with 13 (three more than the next closest player), and his ability to win faceoffs puts him in plenty of big opportunities.
His numbers aren't that far off from Sam Bennett's when he won (15 goals, seven assists), and his strong play has carried into the Cup Final.
Does Marner have more points? Yes, but the Conn Smythe is the MVP of the postseason, not the Art Ross of it. I would bet on anything longer than +1000 heading into Game 3.
Pick made on Friday, 6-5.
📈 Conn Smythe Trophy trends
- There have only been five players to win the Conn Smythe without winning the Stanley Cup.
- Skaters have won the Conn Smythe over a goalie 74% of the time.
- There have been seven repeat winners of the Conn Smythe since its establishment.
- Only one player has won the Conn Smythe more than twice. Patrick Roy won it three times.
📜 Conn Smythe Trophy history
A quick look at recent NHL Conn Smythe Trophy winners and the teams they played for.
| Season | Player | Team |
|---|---|---|
| 2024-25 | Sam Bennett |  Florida Panthers |
| 2023-24 | Connor McDavid |  Edmonton Oilers |
| 2022-23 | Jonathan Marchessault |  Vegas Golden Knights |
| 2021-22 | Cale Makar |  Colorado Avalanche |
| 2020-21 | Andrei Vasilevskiy |  Tampa Bay Lightning |
| 2019-20 | Victor Hedman | Tampa Bay Lightning |
| 2018-19 | Ryan O'Reilly |  St. Louis Blues |
| 2017-18 | Alex Ovechkin |  Washington Capitals |
| 2016-17 | Sidney Crosby |  Pittsburgh Penguins |
| 2015-16 | Sidney Crosby | Pittsburgh Penguins |
| 2014-15 | Duncan Keith |  Chicago Blackhawks |
| 2013-14 | Justin Williams |  Los Angeles Kings |
| 2012-13 | Patrick Kane | Chicago Blackhawks |
| 2011-12 | Jonathan Quick | Los Angeles Kings |
| 2010-11 | Tim Thomas |  Boston Bruins |
| 2009-10 | Jonathan Toews | Chicago Blackhawks |
| 2008-09 | Evgeni Malkin | Pittsburgh Penguins |
| 2007-08 | Henrik Zetterberg |  Detroit Red Wings |
| 2006-07 | Scott Niedermayer |  Anaheim Ducks |
| 2005-06 | Cam Ward |  Carolina Hurricanes |
| 2003-04 | Brad Richards | Tampa Bay Lightning |
Understanding Conn Smythe Trophy odds
Sportsbooks will post Conn Smythe Trophy odds as early as the beginning of the playoffs. These NHL futures are constantly adjusted throughout the postseason depending on how well players perform as well as their team success. Sportsbooks will also adjust the NHL awards odds based on handle and liability to certain players.
Conn Smythe Trophy odds will usually look like this:
- Nathan MacKinnon +290
This means that on a $100 bet, you'll stand to win $290 if MacKinnon takes home the Conn Smythe Trophy. If it's close to the end of the Stanley Cup playoffs and a player has stood out as the obvious MVP of the series they might have a minus sign (-) ahead of their odds like this:
- Connor McDavid -175
This means that if you bet on McDavid to win the Conn Smythe Trophy, you would have needed to bet $175 to profit $100.
All of the odds listed above are in American format, but if you prefer decimal or fractional odds, simply plug them into our odds converter tool.
Conn Smythe Trophy Odds FAQs
Vegas’ Mitch Marner (-125) is the betting favorite to win the 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy.
Florida center Sam Bennett won the 2025 Conn Smythe after scoring 15 goals during the Panthers' Stanley Cup run.
The Conn Smythe has been awarded to a goaltender 17 times. Last was Andrei Vasilevskiy in 2021, then Jonathan Quick in 2012 before that.
Wayne Gretzky, Mario Lemieux, Sidney Crosby, and Bernie Parent are the only players to receive the award multiple times.
Six players have won the Conn Smythe despite their team losing in the Stanley Cup Finals, most recently Connor McDavid in 2024 and Jean-Sebastien Giguere in 2003.
