It’s a short turnaround for the Montreal Canadiens, as they’ll play their second Atlantic Division clash in consecutive nights against the Ottawa Senators at Canadian Tire Centre on Wednesday, March 11.
My top Canadiens vs. Senators predictions and NHL picks call for Ottawa to take care of business on home ice tonight.
Canadiens vs Senators prediction
Canadiens vs Senators best bet: Senators moneyline (-170)
The Ottawa Senators are cruising along a 9-1-2 stretch while allowing the fewest goals per game (2.08) and ranking fourth in Corsi For percentage and second in expected goals percentage, so this is a daunting matchup on the second leg of a back-to-back set for the Montreal Canadiens.
Of course, the Habs rank 27th in CF% and 30th in xGF% at 5-on-5 during the same stretch, too.
Finally, I also value Ottawa No. 1 Linus Ullmark’s rock-solid .908 SV% and 2.34 GAA on home ice this season.
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Canadiens vs Senators same-game parlay
While I prefer the Sens moneyline for the best bet, going with the puck line in the same-game parlay offers a nice odds boost. The Sens have allowed the fewest expected goals per 60 minutes at 5-on-5 on home ice, which paves the way to this game going Under.
Turning to Ottawa winger Drake Batherson, he’s recorded two or more shots in seven of his past nine games for 24 total while jumping the boards with the top line and No. 1 power-play unit.
The Habs' possession numbers have also been down, and Montreal has surrendered the seventh-most shots per game (30.5) during the highlighted stretch.
Canadiens vs Senators SGP
- Senators -1.5
- Under 6.5
- Drake Batherson Over 1.5 shots on goal
Canadiens vs Senators odds
- Moneyline: Canadiens +145 | Senators -170
- Puck Line: Canadiens +1.5 (-155) | Senators -1.5 (+135)
- Over/Under: Over 6.5 (-115) | Under 6.5 (-105)
Canadiens vs Senators trend
The Ottawa Senators have covered the puck line in 9 of their last 12 games (+8.60 Units / 54% ROI). Find more NHL betting trends for Canadiens vs. Senators.
How to watch Canadiens vs Senators
| Location | Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa, ON |
| Date | Wednesday, March 11, 2026 |
| Puck drop | 7:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | Sportsnet |
Canadiens vs Senators latest injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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