Avalanche vs Lightning Prediction, Picks & Same-Game Parlay for Tonight’s NHL Game

Gilbert's prediction: Brayden Point lights it up as Tampa Bay keeps the wins coming while back on home ice.

Ryan Gilbert - Contributor at Covers.com
Ryan Gilbert • Betting Analyst
Jan 6, 2026 • 15:59 ET • 3 min read

NHL

Jan 06 • 7:00 PM ET
TB
47 %
COL
53 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
Brayden Point o0.5  Points (-145) Brayden Point o0.5 Points (-145)
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Brayden Point Tampa Bay Lightning NHL
Photo By - Imagn Images. Tampa Bay Lightning center Brayden Point (21) during the second period.

It’s a heavyweight battle in Tampa Bay on Tuesday night with the Lightning hosting the Colorado Avalanche.

The Avalanche are coming off just their third regulation loss of the season, falling 2-1 in Florida on Sunday after beating the Hurricanes in Carolina the night before.

The Lightning come into this game red-hot, riding a seven-game winning streak. They’re back at home after a road trip to California.

My Avalanche vs. Lightning predictions is looking at Tampa Bay’s top center to find the scoresheet.

Read on as I break down my NHL picks for Tuesday, January 6.

Avalanche vs Lightning prediction

Avalanche vs Lightning best bet: Brayden Point Over 0.5 points (-145)

The Colorado Avalanche took down the Tampa Bay Lightning 3-2 in Colorado back in November, but that type of low-scoring game is the exception to the norm for these two teams.

Their previous three games all went over the total with 10, 7, and 9 goals. Even if it is a low-scoring game, Brayden Point did score one of the Lightning’s two goals in that road loss.

Point has been picking it up as of late as well. He’s riding a five-game point streak, including two points in each of his last two games, and he has 15 points in 12 games since December 9.

The Lightning center has now recorded a point in four straight games against the Avalanche, and of course, he’s still on the top line and power-play unit in Tampa Bay.

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Avalanche vs Lightning same-game parlay

Point has scored in three straight games and had a goal in Colorado as mentioned above. There’s a good chance he continues that streak tonight, and if he does, it’s going to be Nikita Kucherov picking up the assist.

I’ll take the Lightning as rare home underdogs in a high-scoring game against a tired Avalanche team.

Avalanche vs Lightning SGP

  • Lightning moneyline
  • Over 6.5
  • Brayden Point Over 0.5 goals scored
  • Nikita Kucherov Over 0.5 assists

Avalanche vs Lightning odds

  • Moneyline: Avalanche -115 | Lightning -105
  • Puck Line: Avalanche -1.5 (+205) | Lightning +1.5 (-250)
  • Over/Under: Over 6.5 | Under 6.5

Avalanche vs Lightning trend

The Tampa Bay Lightning have covered the Puck Line in 45 of their last 91 games (+6.60 Units / 6% ROI). Find more NHL betting trends for Avalanche vs. Lightning.

How to watch Avalanche vs Lightning

Location Benchmark International Arena, Tampa, FL
Date Tuesday, January 6, 2026
Puck drop 7:00 p.m. ET
TV ALT, The Spot

Avalanche vs Lightning latest injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Ryan Gilbert - Covers
Betting Analyst

Ryan Gilbert brings the passion and pain of being a Philadelphia sports fan. After graduating from Monmouth University with a finance degree, he now uses his statistical background to find inefficiencies in betting markets. With past stops at NHL.com, NBC Sports, and currently at Covers, Ryan's hot picks blend well with the cold ice of a hockey rink.

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