NHL All-Star Game 2023 Picks and Predictions: League's Best Collide in the Sunshine State

All-Star weekend has arrived as hockey's best will come together in Florida to take part in the annual 3-on-3 divisional tournament. Find out how we're handicapping the matchups in our NHL All-Star game betting picks.

Last Updated: Feb 3, 2023 11:48 AM ET Read Time: 4 min
Connor McDavid Pacific Division ASG
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

The NHL All-Star game will take place Friday night in Florida as the league will continue its 3-on-3 divisional format, with the winning team taking home a cool $1 million. 

There are plenty of ways to look at this set of mini-games, but despite the prize, there isn't a ton to play for. More often than not, the outcomes are often decided by which team can turn a big save into an odd-man rush and capitalize. 

There is no concrete template to properly handicap these near-coinflip contests. Still, bettors can hone in on things like faceoff win percentages or even prior All-Star experience to find outliers that might not be priced into these lines. 

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NHL All-Star Game odds

Team Odds to win
Atlantic +250
Central +250
Metropolitan +300
Pacific +300

Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook as of February 2, 2023.

Pacific vs Central betting preview

The Pacific comes into the first game as +105 dogs, thanks to some "weak" goaltending in Stuart Skinner and Logan Thompson. However, these 3-on-3 formats are tough to handicap the goaltending properly, and getting Connor McDavid as an underdog is worth the price of admission. 

When the public is choosing to bet on, the goaltending matchup will be the first thing they factor into their wager. This is certainly priced in and likely too heavily, in my opinion.

Thompson actually leads all NHL goalies in save percentage during shootouts at .778%, and Skinner is a six-foot-four giant, so the Pacific isn't at as much of a disadvantage as the books are making them out to be. 

The O/U total of 13.5 is also a little high. Bettors will see the likes of McDavid going up against Nathan MacKinnon and expect a track meet. However, since the league established this format, only six of the 18 games played have seen 14 or more goals, and all three last year saw 13 or fewer. 

Ultimately, having McDavid is such an advantage, and the goalies might not be as important to the winning probability as the oddsmakers are stating with this price.

The Pacific also has the most All-Star experience of the four divisions. 

Best Bet: Pacific moneyline (+105 at DraftKings)

Metro vs Atlantic betting preview

Looking at the rosters, the Atlantic looks to have the better skaters suited for this format, with guys like Mitch Marner, David Pastrnak, Alex Barkov, Nikita Kucherov, and the Tkachuk brothers.

There is also enough familiarity there as Rasmus Dahlin, Dylan Larkin, Brady Tkachuk, and Nick Suzuki all played in last year's All-Star game, and Pastrnak (MVP), Marner, and Tkachuk represented the Atlantic back in 2020.

This is just a younger, faster team that's also backed by Vezina-caliber goaltending. Jack Hughes could certainly make his mark on this game, but Kevin Hayes and Brock Nelson aren't difference-makers.

I believe this Atlantic roster is the deepest of the four teams, and having Larkin and Barkov win extremely valuable draws is very important as they are two of the best in hockey.

The Atlantic also has the edge in experience as seven of the 11 players on the Metro will be making their first All-Star appearance. In contrast, only Sidney Crosby, Alex Ovechkin, and Johnny Gaudreau have played in more than two AS games. 

Although betting on these games is like playing blackjack, the Atlantic has enough edges that I'm willing to take them up to -120. The ability to win a faceoff is very underrated and is something they should excel at. 

Best Bet: Atlantic moneyline (-120 at DraftKings)

2023 NHL All-Star Game Rosters

Metropolitan Atlantic Central Pacific
Penguins Sidney Crosby Panthers Aleksander Barkov+ Wild Kirill Kaprizov Oilers Leon Draisaitl
Blue Jackets Johnny Gaudreau Lightning Nikita Kucherov Coyotes Clayton Keller Kings Kevin Fiala
Flyers Kevin Hayes Red Wings Dylan Larkin Avalanche Nathan MacKinnon Islanders Bo Horvat*
Devils Jack Hughes Maple Leafs Mitchell Marner Avalanche Mikko Rantanen Flames Nazem Kadri
Islanders Brock Nelson Bruins David Pastrnak Stars Jason Robertson Oilers Connor McDavid
Capitals Alex Ovechkin Canadiens Nick Suzuki Blues Vladimir Tarasenko Canucks Elias Pettersson
Rangers Artemi Panarin Senators Brady Tkachuk Blackhawks Seth Jones Golden Knights Chandler Stephenson+++
Hurricanes Andrei Svechnikov Panthers Matt Tkachuk Avalanche Cale Makar Ducks Troy Terry
Rangers Adam Fox Sabres Rasmus Dahlin++ Jets Josh Morrissey Sharks Erik Karlsson
Rangers Igor Shesterkin Lightning Andrei Vasilevskiy Jets Connor Hellebuyck Oilers Stuart Skinner
Islanders Ilya Sorokin Bruins Linus Ullmark Predators Juuse Saros Golden Knights Logan Thompson

+ Replaced injured Maple Leafs Auston Matthews
++ Replaced injured Sabres Tage Thompson
+++Replaced injured Kraken Matty Beniers
*Selected as a member of Vancouver, but was traded to New York on January 30

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