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FLA
Game 5 of the Stanley Cup Final was a low-event bout with just 28 shots and 2.9 expected goals at five-on-five, and while the entire series has resulted in high-scoring games with an average of 7.8 goals per, I’m anticipating another low-event contest turning into a low-scoring finish in Game 6.
Matthew Tkachuk o2.5 Shots on Goal (+110)
Tkachuk definitely saved his best for the Stanley Cup Final. He’s sporting a dominant 61.8 CF% at five-on-five and has recorded three or more shots in three of the five games while tallying up two goals and four assists to tie for a team-high six points. I also value Tkachuk only hitting the net with 12 of his 31 attempts (38.7%) because he converted 49.2% of his attempts into shots during the regular season. Additionally, his 7.3 shots and 18.86 attempts per 60 minutes in the final are way above his respective 5.69 and 15.17 marks through the first three rounds of the postseason. Those rates are much closer to Tkachuk' s 9.81 shots and 19.94 attempts per 60 minutes during the regular season, too, and he also posted an even higher 10.42 shots and 21.87 attempts on home ice.
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