The Detroit Lions are back in action on Sunday after a bye week as they welcome the Minnesota Vikings to Ford Field.
I’m expecting Jared Goff to put together a big performance, while I’m also eyeing Jahmyr Gibbs and Justin Jefferson in my player props.
Read more in my NFL picks for November 2.
Vikings vs Lions props
| Player | Pick | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 241.5 passing yards | -113 | |
| Over 75.5 rushing yards | -111 | |
| Over 5.5 receptions | -102 |
Prop bet #1: Jared Goff Over 241.5 passing yards
There’s been a couple of bumps in the road this season for the Detroit Lions, but overall, they’re playing well. Detroit is 5-2, and Jared Goff has certainly done his part. The quarterback is averaging 233 yards through the air per contest, while completing 74.9% of his throws.
He’s cashed the Over in passing yards in two of his last three games. Goff threw for 241 yards in a win over the Tampa Bay Buccaneers two weeks ago, and he also went for 258 yards on October 8 versus the Cincinnati Bengals.
While the Minnesota Vikings are top-10 in fewest passing yards allowed, Goff and this offense come in very well-rested, and he’s averaging 247.7 passing yards at home this season in three outings.
Prop bet #2: Jahmyr Gibbs Over 75.5 rushing yards
From day one, it was clear that the Lions had a special player in Jahmyr Gibbs. He’s developed into one of the top backs in the NFL, averaging over five yards per carry this season. The Alabama product is averaging 75.1 yards per game on the ground as well.
Gibbs erupted in Week 7, cooking the Buccaneers for 136 yards and two touchdowns. He could be in for another banner performance on Sunday as the Vikings rank 24th in the NFL in rushing yards allowed. They’re not a good team against the run.
Expect the ball to be in Gibbs’ hands a lot, and he may just take full advantage.
Prop bet #3: Justin Jefferson Over 5.5 receptions
The Vikings may not be an elite team, but Justin Jefferson is certainly an elite wide receiver. The LSU product is having another impressive campaign, reeling in 41 catches for 602 yards. While he has just one touchdown, Jefferson is still putting up yards.
He’s cashed the Over in receptions in three of his previous four games. In Week 8, Jefferson had seven grabs for 74 yards in a loss to the Los Angeles Chargers. He’s been much better on the road, averaging seven receptions per contest compared to only 4.3 at home.
Plus, the Lions’ secondary isn’t great, ranking around the middle of the pack in the NFL.
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