Our Seahawks vs. Broncos computer picks highlight eight player props for Thursday Night Football, led by AJ Barner's receiving yards and RJ Harvey's rushing yards.
Below, we compare the Covers prop projections with Kalshi's listed markets, with more NFL picks available for Week 6.
Seahawks vs Broncos computer picks
For help understanding Kalshi probabilities, see our odds calculator.
 Seahawks |
 Broncos |
|---|---|
| AJ Barner Over 24.5 receiving yards 51% |
RJ Harvey Over 14.5 rushing yards 51% |
| Sam Darnold Over 4.5 rushing yards 52% |
J.K. Dobbins Over 49.5 rushing yards 48% |
| Emanuel Wilson Over 64.5 rushing yards 54% |
Bo Nix Over 199.5 passing yards 47% |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba Anytime touchdown 47% |
Evan Engram Over 24.5 receiving yards 44% |
Percentages courtesy of Kalshi, one of the best prediction market apps.
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Seahawks vs Broncos prop analysis
Seahawks computer picks
AJ Barner Over 24.5 receiving yards (51%)
Projection: 34.16 receiving yards
AJ Barner faces a defense that allows 62.6 receiving yards per game to tight ends, giving him a favorable positional matchup. The model projects 34.16 yards, putting him 9.66 yards above his 24.5-yard line.
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Sam Darnold Over 4.5 rushing yards (52%)
Projection: 8.47 rushing yards
Sam Darnold has rushed for five, six, and five yards in his last three appearances, clearing this 4.5-yard threshold each time. The computer projects 8.47 yards, so this Over does not require a big scrambling performance.
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Emanuel Wilson Over 64.5 rushing yards (54%)
Projection: 68.45 rushing yards
Emanuel Wilson has recorded 61 and 81 rushing yards in his last two games, showing the 65-yard target is within range. The model projects 68.45 yards, making this a modest Over lean rather than a spot to chase a higher line.
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Jaxon Smith-Njigba Anytime touchdown (47%)
Projection: 0.54 touchdowns
Jaxon Smith-Njigba has scored seven touchdowns in five games, finding the end zone in four of those outings. The model projects 0.54 touchdowns, although his ankle status should be confirmed before backing this anytime market.
🔥 Trade Smith-Njigba anytime touchdown now
Broncos computer picks
RJ Harvey Over 14.5 rushing yards (51%)
Projection: 27.61 rushing yards
RJ Harvey has a modest threshold to clear, with the model projecting 27.61 rushing yards against a 14.5-yard line. That 13.11-yard gap supports the Over without requiring him to take over Denver's backfield.
🔥 Trade Harvey rushing yards now
J.K. Dobbins Over 49.5 rushing yards (48%)
Projection: 59.13 rushing yards
J.K. Dobbins is coming off 68 rushing yards against the Chargers, and the model expects another 59.13 against Seattle. With a 9.63-yard projection edge, he can clear this number without matching last week's total.
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Bo Nix Over 199.5 passing yards (47%)
Projection: 214.52 passing yards
Bo Nix is averaging 188.4 passing yards this season, so this is a model-backed rebound pick rather than a recent-form play. The projection of 214.52 yards puts him 15.02 above the 199.5-yard threshold.
Evan Engram Over 24.5 receiving yards (44%)
Projection: 26.59 receiving yards
Evan Engram finished with 55 receiving yards against the Chargers last week, although his season average is a more modest 24.2. The 26.59-yard projection offers only a 2.09-yard margin over this line, making Engram a smaller-edge selection that loses appeal if the number climbs.
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