The Baltimore Ravens head to Mercedes-Benz Stadium for Sunday Night Football against the Atlanta Falcons, with kickoff set for 8:20 p.m. ET on NBC.
Our Ravens vs. Falcons expert picks are leaning toward Tyler Huntley and Baltimore to cover at the key number of +3.5.
Check out our latest NFL picks before kickoff on Oct. 11.
Ravens vs Falcons expert picks
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| Expert Pick |  Probability |
|---|---|
 Jason Logan: Ravens +3.5 |
53% |
 Josh Inglis: Huntley 175+ passing yards |
51% |
 Joe Osborne: Ravens team total u20.5 |
55% |
 Jon Metler: Ravens +3.5 |
53% |
Percentages courtesy of Kalshi, one of the best prediction market apps.
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Jason Logan’s expert pick: Ravens +3.5
Price: 53% at Kalshi
"Falcons Fever" has dragged this spread past the key number of a field goal, which puts things out of reach for Atlanta.
The Falcons are on a short week and face their toughest test on defense. The Ravens are a prideful stop unit looking to carry the team with Lamar Jackson out.
Josh Inglis' expert pick: Tyler Huntley 175+ passing yards
Price: 51% at Kalshi
This is a low total for a competent QB in an indoor game as a 3.5-point underdog. Projections have Ravens backup QB Tyler Huntley pegged for 202 passing yards on Sunday night.
Lamar Jackson missed the second half last week and both practices to open the week. Huntley completed 8-of-9 passes for 63 yards in the second half of Week 4 and now faces the Falcons, one of seven teams allowing more than 250 passing yards per game.
Zay Flowers being limited but probable to play is the real winner here.
Joe Osborne's expert pick: Ravens team total Under 20.5
Price: 55% at Kalshi
How many Lamar Jackson injuries will it take for Baltimore to invest in a better backup? With Lamar likely out, I’m backing the Ravens’ team total Under 20.5.
The Ravens have scored below that mark in eight of 10 regular-season games without Jackson since 2022, averaging just 15.9 points. They also went scoreless after halftime with Tyler Huntley under center last week.
Expect Baltimore to lean heavily on Derrick Henry, but Atlanta allows an NFL-low 2.7 yards per carry. Moving the ball could be a serious challenge for the Ravens in this one.
Jon Metler’s expert pick: Ravens +3.5
Price: 53% at Kalshi
I’ll bite — give me the Ravens +3.5 with Tyler Huntley under center. I price Baltimore closer to a 2.5-point underdog, and while it’s only a one-point difference, going through a key number is enough to have me hitting the button.
Huntley isn’t a rookie or an inexperienced quarterback. He’s a veteran backup who has plenty of experience in Baltimore and is well-insulated by weapons like Derrick Henry and Zay Flowers.
The Falcons are coming off back-to-back impressive performances, so in the most NFL way possible, I wouldn’t be surprised if they stumble here.
How to watch Ravens vs Falcons
| Location | Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA |
| Date | Sunday, Oct. 11, 2026 |
| Kickoff | 8:20 p.m. ET |
| TV | NBC |
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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