Week 5 offers a loaded slate of plus-money prop bets with strong angles to exploit.
We’re targeting a lead back flying under the radar in the reception market, a dome-dwelling quarterback in a tough spot for a costly pick, and a mobile QB primed to take off on the ground.
With roles tightening up and defenses showing their true colors, the value is out there — if you know where to look.
Here are three plus-money NFL picks to smash on Sunday.
NFL Week 5 Predictions: Best plus money bets
| Player | Pick |  |
|---|---|---|
 Cam Skattebo |
4+ receptions | +270 |
 Dak Prescott |
Over 0.5 interceptions | +114 |
 Justin Fields |
Over 8.5 carries | +110 |
Cam Skattebo Over 4+ receptions
Malik Nabers was getting more than 10 targets a game, and with him gone, the New York Giants have to look elsewhere. How about we target the back who played 75% of the snaps last week?
Cam Skattebo had a six-catch game two weeks ago, has tallied at least two grabs in every game this year, and his usage is hitting a peak, with Tyrone Tracy likely out another week.
It's also a good indoor matchup (increased pass rate and efficiency) in a favorable matchup vs. the New Orleans Saints' No. 27 EPA/play defense. THE BLITZ has this Over as one of the best +EV receiving props of the week, projecting for 3.71 grabs. I already have some shares of the Over 2.5 at +135.
There is ladder potential here, and that last rung could be as high as six receptions.
Dak Prescott Over 0.5 interceptions
Dak Prescott has a few things working against him this week. He’ll likely be without CeeDee Lamb again, three of his offensive linemen (all first-rounders) are in question, and historically, the Dallas Cowboys quarterback is far better at home than on the road.
Prescott has already thrown two interceptions on the road this season — both against the Bears — and has 38 INTs in 48 career outdoor games.
Digging deeper, Dak ranks as the third-most aggressive QB in the league when it comes to throwing into tight windows. That could spell trouble against Sauce Gardner and a New York Jets defense that’s overdue for a takeaway. Somehow, they’ve gone four games without recording an interception — a streak unlikely to last.
According to THE BLITZ, this is the best plus-money INT prop on the board.
Justin Fields Over 8.5 carries
THE BLITZ projects over 10 carries for Justin Fields this week, and the volume lines up. He looked like his old self last week — tucking and running often as he struggled to keep his eyes downfield — rushing seven times for 81 yards and a TD.
Over his last 153 snaps, he’s recorded 24 carries — roughly 9.7 per 62 plays. With a neutral game script and potential kneel-down equity as a short home dog, the rushing floor is strong.
The Dallas defense also presents a great matchup for mobile QBs. Few bets offer better entertainment ROI than rooting for a quarterback to take off and scramble, and Fields is the ideal target this week.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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