Week 13 brings a fresh batch of plus-money props, and the market has left plenty of value on the board.
I’m targeting a wide receiver whose role has grown faster than the books can adjust, a sneaky candidate to lead the ugliest weather game of the week in receiving yards, and a veteran quarterback who is paying a good price to do things he loves to do.
Here are my favorite plus-money NFL picks for the upcoming slate.
NFL Week 13 Predictions: Best plus money bets
| Player | Pick |  |
|---|---|---|
 Tyler Lockett |
Over 3.5 receptions | +152 |
 Harold Fannin Jr. |
Most receiving yards in the game | +700 |
 Kirk Cousins |
Over 0.5 interceptions | +162 |
Tyler Lockett Over 3.5 receptions
Tyler Lockett has averaged four catches over his last three games and led the Las Vegas Raiders with four grabs for 62 yards last week, despite his quarterback taking 10 sacks. Things get easier this week as the Raiders play indoors for the third straight game, this time against the Los Angeles Chargers.
Lockett is now four games into his Raiders stint and saw a massive jump in usage last week, going from 28 snaps in Week 11 to 60. A big part of that is his new role in 2-WR sets, something he wasn’t included in previously.
Books have been slow to react to Lockett's expanded role and the pass-heavy game scripts Vegas keeps finding itself in. There’s some ladder potential here, but his yardage looks like the best angle to attack for the aggressive Alt-Over bets.
Harold Fannin Jr. to record the most receiving yards
The weather for Sunday in Northeast Ohio looks rough — rain or snow, steady 20+ mph winds, and gusts up to 35 mph. This sets up as a run-heavy game where 60–70 receiving yards could realistically lead all pass catchers.
San Francisco 49ers quarterback Brock Purdy struggled last week, and a turf toe issue won’t help him against this Cleveland Browns defense, especially given his history of poor play in bad weather.
Tight end Harold Fannin Jr. emerged as Shadeur Sanders’ preferred target against the Raiders, leading the team with six targets and finishing with four catches for 40 yards. In that indoor game, 62 yards led all receivers.
Fannin should stay involved, and with his ability to break tackles — combined with the likelihood of limited production across the board — he’s firmly in the mix to lead this game in receiving yards. Full unit for me.
Kirk Cousins Over 0.5 interceptions
Kirk Cousins picked up his first win of the season last week, but he’ll be without Drake London again and is overpriced in the interception market, even against the New York Jets.
The Atlanta Falcons pivot threw two touchdowns and a pick last week while targeting David Sills, Darnell Mooney, Dylan Drummond, and KhaDarel Hodge. That’s a rough group of pass catchers, and it raises his interception risk again this week.
Weather could also be a factor, with possible rain and double-digit winds—conditions that only strengthen the case for an INT. His two-interception prop at +600 is also worth a look. Last year, Cousins threw 16 picks in 14 games — one every 28 attempts.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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