After another disappointing season, the Las Vegas Raiders have opened a new head coaching search as they look to reset direction and establish a clear identity.
Las Vegas finished 3-14, struggling to generate consistency on either side of the ball. With change underway, the Raiders’ next head coach odds are beginning to take shape, and early market signals suggest a preference for a defensive-minded leader in Brian Flores.
Las Vegas Raiders next head coach odds
Percentages courtesy of Kalshi.
Kalshi is a regulated financial exchange where you trade on real-world event outcomes. Instead of traditional odds, prices are listed as percentages (0–100%), representing the market’s estimated probability of an event occurring.
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Analyzing the Raiders next head coach favorites
Brian Flores
Brian Flores has emerged as the early favorite in the Raiders’ next head coach odds, and the fit is easy to understand.
While his stint in Miami ended abruptly, Flores has rebuilt his reputation as one of the NFL’s top defensive minds. His work with Minnesota, transforming the Vikings into one of the league’s most disciplined and aggressive defenses, has put him back on the short list for head coaching opportunities.
For a Raiders team that ranked near the bottom of the league defensively, Flores offers something foundational: structure. The roster already features elite talent up front, and a Flores-led defense would provide an immediate baseline for competitiveness, even if offensive progress takes longer.
Vance Joseph
Vance Joseph represents another defense-first option drawing interest in the market.
Joseph’s Broncos defense led the NFL in sacks this season, and his ability to manufacture pressure without overextending the secondary has earned league-wide respect. With Maxx Crosby already anchoring the Raiders’ front, the idea of pairing him with Joseph’s aggressive schemes is an appealing one.
While his previous head coaching stint didn’t produce lasting success, recent results as a coordinator have re-established Joseph as a legitimate candidate for teams prioritizing defensive stability.
Jesse Minter
Jesse Minter is one of the fastest-rising names on the defensive side of the ball.
After elevating the Chargers to the No. 1 scoring defense in 2024 and maintaining top-tier results this season, Minter has developed a reputation as a strong teacher who maximizes young talent. That profile fits a Raiders defense still learning how to play consistently at the NFL level.
For Las Vegas, Minter represents a longer-term bet, someone who could grow alongside the roster rather than attempting an immediate turnaround.
Recent Raiders coaching history
Stability has been just as elusive in Las Vegas — and Oakland before it — since the turn of the century. After the Raiders’ Super Bowl run in the early 2000s, sustained success quickly slipped away, ushering in years of turnover on the sideline.
That early stretch under Jon Gruden produced immediate results, including a Super Bowl appearance in 2002, but his departure marked the start of a long period of inconsistency. From there, short-lived tenures under coaches like Lane Kiffin, Tom Cable, and Dennis Allen failed to establish a clear direction, with losing seasons piling up.
The franchise briefly stabilized again when Jack Del Rio led the Raiders to a 12-4 playoff season in 2016, but that window closed quickly. Gruden’s return brought optimism, yet off-field controversy and uneven results cut that era short as well.
Most recently, attempts to modernize the organization did not translate into consistent on-field success, pushing the Raiders back into another reset. Once again, the franchise enters an offseason hoping its next hire can finally provide continuity and a clear identity moving forward.
