Drake Maye Odds, Predictions & Projections for Wild Card Weekend

Drake Maye hasn’t been afraid to use his legs this season, and our computer model expects another productive outing on the ground from New England’s star quarterback.

Trevor Knapp - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Trevor Knapp • Betting Analyst
Jan 11, 2026 • 07:00 ET • 4 min read
Drake Maye New England Patriots NFL
Photo By - Reuters Connect. New England Patriots quarterback Drake Maye (10).

The New England Patriots are back as a top dog in the AFC, and their road to the Super Bowl begins tonight when they welcome the Los Angeles Chargers to Gillette Stadium.

Drake Maye is set to make his first career playoff start, and our NFL player prop projections have you covered on how to bet on the Patriots’ superstar quarterback.

Let’s dive into the latest Drake Maye odds ahead of kickoff in Foxborough.

Drake Maye projections for Wild Card Weekend

Market Proj. Odds Value
Passing yards
(242.5)
227.14 Under 242.5
-114
A+
Rushing yards
(24.5)
32.77 Over 24.5
-114
A+
Passing attempts
(29.5)
29.61 Over 29.5
-108
C
Passing completions
(20.5)
20.42 Under 20.5
-130
C
Passing touchdowns
(1.5)
1.66 Over 1.5
-114
C

Drake Maye has exceeded a rushing total of 24.5 yards in three of his last four starts.

Our model also projects the Patriots to play with a lead and lean into a run-heavy game script as 3–5 point favorites, increasing the likelihood that Maye finishes below his passing completions O/U.

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Drake Maye same-game parlay for Wild Card Weekend

Over 24.5 rushing yards

Under 242.5 passing yards

Over 1.5 passing touchdowns

Wrapping up our SGP is the expectation that Maye records 2+ passing touchdowns, a feat he’s accomplished in 11 games this season. The sophomore capped off the season trailing only Matthew Stafford and Jared Goff in total passing TDs.

There’s also a 30% profit boost available at FanDuel for a 3+ leg SGP on tonight's game, which would bump this parlay up to +855 if applied.


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Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Trevor Knapp - Covers
Betting Analyst

Trevor joined the Covers content team as a publishing editor in early 2022. Growing up in Vancouver, he studied Broadcast and Online Journalism at the British Columbia Institute of Technology (BCIT), and interned with TSN and Sportsnet Radio while also writing for the Daily Hive.

An avid bettor of the MLB, NFL, and CFL, Trevor advises his fellow sports bettors to leave their hearts at the door and not hesitate to fade their favorite team. It's a strategy he follows regularly as an apathetic Indianapolis Colts and Toronto Blue Jays fan.

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