The Denver Broncos and New York Jets kick-start the Sunday slate with an AFC tilt at Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London on Sunday, October 12.
My Broncos vs. Jets predictions and NFL picks are calling for the Denver defense to lead the way in covering the number and keeping New York winless in Week 6.
Our best Broncos vs Jets SGP for Week 6
The Denver Broncos generate the highest pressure percentage in the NFL and have already racked up a league-high 21 sacks, so I’m expecting New York Jets quarterback Justin Fields to have a long day.
New York ranks 23rd in both PFF pass block grade and pass block win rate, while Denver sits ninth in PFF pass rush grade and second in pass rush win rate.
Add in the fact that Denver is limiting opponents to the second-fewest points per game (16.8), and Gang Green will have difficulty moving the ball and keeping pace with a well-rounded Broncos offense averaging 5.5 yards per play and a respectable 23.4 points per game.
The Jets are currently 29th in defensive DVOA and 26th in PFF defense grade, allowing the fourth-highest EPA per play and second-most points per game.
Because Fields is going to be under pressure, he's going to have to rely on his legs early and often. The Jets QB has rushed for 48 or more yards in three of his four starts.
While the New York defense hasn’t surrendered huge yardage numbers to opposing tight ends, the Jets have given up a league-high five touchdowns to the position.
An opposing tight end has caught 27 or more yards in four of five games against New York, so this isn’t a huge total for Denver pass-catcher Evan Engram to clear, especially after hauling in eight of 13 targets for 62 yards over the past two weeks.
Broncos vs Jets SGP
- Denver - 7
- Justin Fields Over 36.5 rushing yards
- Evan Engram Over 22.5 receiving yards
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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