Anytime Touchdown Scorer Patriots vs Bills Prediction: TD Picks for Sunday Night Football Week 5

Stefon Diggs returns to Highmark Stadium on prime time, and the Patriots' star receiver is set for a big performance in this AFC East rivalry.

Ryan Gilbert - Contributor at Covers.com
Ryan Gilbert • Betting Analyst
Oct 4, 2025 • 06:00 ET • 4 min read
Stefon Diggs New England Patriots NFL
Photo By - Imagn Images. New England Patriots wide receiver Stefon Diggs (8).

The Buffalo Bills look to keep rolling as they host the New England Patriots on Sunday Night Football.

Buffalo has averaged 33.3 points through four weeks, good for the second-most in the league. Meanwhile, the Patriots are coming off a 42-13 drubbing of Carolina at home.

Headlined by Stefon Diggs returning to his old stomping grounds, here are my best free Patriots vs. Bills anytime touchdown picks for Sunday, October 5.

Patriots Patriots anytime touchdown pick

Stefon Diggs (+250 at FanDuel)

Who doesn’t love a good narrative play?

New England Patriots wideout Stefon Diggs will face the Buffalo Bills for the first time as a visiting player, and he previously recorded six catches for 82 yards against them at home with Houston last season.

Diggs has yet to score this season, but he was targeted seven times and caught six of them for 101 yards last week against the Panthers. He had two of four of New England’s targets in the red zone last week, and you have to think he’ll be motivated against his former team.

The Bills have allowed six passing touchdowns through four weeks, five of which have been to wide receivers. I’ll take this +250 price for Diggs to score in primetime.

Bills Bills anytime touchdown pick

Dalton Kincaid (+240 at bet365)

Josh Allen has thrown seven touchdown passes this season, three of which were to tight end Dalton Kincaid.

The Bills have spread the ball around so far this year, but Kincaid has still managed to total 16 targets through four weeks.

New England allowed both Panthers tight ends, Tommy Tremble and Mitchell Evans, to score last week, and Brock Bowers dominated them for 103 yards on five catches in Week 1.

Take Kincaid to find paydirt at +240.

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Ryan Gilbert - Covers
Betting Analyst

Ryan Gilbert brings the passion and pain of being a Philadelphia sports fan. After graduating from Monmouth University with a finance degree, he now uses his statistical background to find inefficiencies in betting markets. With past stops at NHL.com, NBC Sports, and currently at Covers, Ryan's hot picks blend well with the cold ice of a hockey rink.

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