A.J. Brown Spotlight: Player Props for the NFC Conference Championship

A.J. Brown has fit like a glove in his first season with the Eagles, and our NFL player prop picks are banking on the star receiver doing damage against the 49ers' secondary on Sunday night in the NFC Championship.

Last Updated: Jan 29, 2023 12:35 PM ET Read Time: 4 min
AJ Brown Philadelphia Eagles NFL
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A Super Bowl berth is on the line at Lincoln Financial Field this weekend as the Philadelphia Eagles are set to host the San Francisco 49ers in the NFC Championship Game on Sunday.

There are many stars on each side of the ball for these teams, but I’ll put the spotlight on Eagles wide receiver A.J. Brown to have a big day. Here are my three favorite A.J. Brown props for this matchup, and be sure to also check out Jason Logan's full 49ers vs. Eagles betting preview and our NFC Championship player props before kickoff!

A.J. Brown prop pick and same-game parlay

Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.

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AJ Brown best bet

The Eagles are generally a run-first team, and that was evidenced during their 38-7 destruction of the New York Giants in the Divisional Round when quarterback Jalen Hurts threw only 24 times.

Expect more passing this time around, as the 49ers can force run-heavy squads to abandon that game plan in a hurry. In fact, San Francisco ranks second in the NFL in the regular season in rushing yards allowed per game (77.7). 

I’m expecting head coach Nick Sirianni to draw up an aerial assault for Sunday’s affair and for the star of the show to be none other than A.J. Brown. The Philly wideout should match up well against a 49ers defense that ranked 20th defending the pass in the regular season (222.9 yards allowed per game).

Brown closed out the regular year on an absolute tear, tallying 95+ yards in each of his last four games. That included his incredible 181-yard performance against the Bears in Week 14. 

The two-time Pro Bowler's season average for yards per catch was a robust 17.0, meaning a mere four receptions would put him right at his receiving yards total for Sunday. However, his big-play ability could make four catches turn into so much more. 

Bettors should disregard his 22-yard outing against the Giants last Saturday, as Philly simply didn’t need to call Brown's number after building a 28-0 halftime lead. This game will be much closer, and Brown should have an integral role in the Eagles’ offense.    

Prop: Over 70.5 receiving yards (-113)

Over 70.5 receiving yards

Longest reception Over 25.5 yards

Anytime TD

As I alluded to, Brown has an uncanny ability to break off big plays. That’s what makes the Over appealing on both his overall receiving yards prop and his longest reception prop. 

Bookmakers are offering what looks like a generous line on Brown’s longest grab, as he recorded a grab of at least 26 yards in six straight games prior to the Divisional Round and in 12 of 17 regular season contests overall. The Niners allowed a reception of at least 30 yards in both the Wild Card Round (Kenneth Walker III) and the Divisional Round (Dalton Schultz).

Brown also looks like a solid bet to break the plane here. He had 11 receiving touchdowns in the regular season — third in the NFL. That occurred despite his catching only one touchdown pass over the first five games of the year.

Same-game parlay: +265 at Caesars

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