Wyoming vs Hawaii Odds, Picks and Predictions: Rainbow Warriors Can't Defend Enemy Attack

Hawaii's been beating up on soft competition recently, and Wyoming's going to be a rude awakening that the rest of the FBS is miles ahead. Our college football picks dig into why the Cowboys should run away with this Week 9 matchup.

JD Yonke - Contributor at Covers.com
JD Yonke • Contributor
Oct 27, 2022 • 11:20 ET • 4 min read
Titus Swen NCAAF
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

There’s a late nightcap on the island as the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (2-6) host the Wyoming Cowboys (5-3) in a game that kicks off at 11:59 p.m. ET.

There’s nothing better than staying up late to watch some football, and it can make things more entertaining to be sweating college football odds with a bet or two. Here’s what we’re looking at for this Mountain West matchup to close out Week 9 in college football.

Check out our college football picks and predictions for Wyoming vs. Hawaii on Saturday, October 29 to find out. 

Wyoming vs Hawaii best odds

Wyoming vs Hawaii picks and predictions

Wyoming has an opportunity to make some noise over the next few weeks. With a 5-3 record overall and a 3-1 mark in conference play, the Cowboys get two winnable games back-to-back in Hawaii and Colorado State. Considering the season ends with two tough tests against Boise State and Fresno State, the time is now to make a run.

Last week they grabbed a 28-14 win over Utah State in which the Cowboys dominated in both total yardage (529 to 217) and first downs (28 to 13). The rushing attack really clicked, gaining 330 yards on the ground, along with three scores. Workhorse back Titus Swen led the way with 160 rushing yards and all three of the aforementioned touchdowns. He’s been the focal point of the offense in 2022, gaining 752 total yards and scoring seven times this season.

Hawaii is in for a very long rebuild under Timmy Chang. For a team that lost most of its roster to the transfer portal and its head coach in a wave of turmoil, achieving two wins this season is a good sign in its own right. Those wins may have come over an FCS school (Duquesne) and another Mountain West team in for a lengthy rebuild (Nevada), but let’s be fair in our expectations.

Hawaii should come crashing back down to earth in this spot. The Cowboys are a more difficult matchup than the Rainbow Warriors have seen in a few weeks, and reality is about to set in, quickly. The Cowboys showed that they can handle lower opposition, winning by 13 points over New Mexico, 14 points over Utah State, and by 23 against Northern Colorado. Hawaii is 122nd in scoring offense (18.1 points per game) and 120th in scoring defense (34.5) despite facing a very manageable schedule. 

Give me Wyoming to keep rolling with a comfortable victory on the island

My best bet: Wyoming -10.5 (-107 at PointsBet)

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Wyoming vs Hawaii spread analysis

Wyoming is 4-1 ATS in its last five games overall. The Cowboys have found a groove, and it’d be a surprise to see the Rainbow Warriors offer too much resistance. This road trip isn’t too concerning given that the Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games and have been very profitable in conference play, going 6-2 ATS in their last eight conference games. 

A case can be made for Hawaii as well, considering that it’s 5-0 ATS in its last five conference games. Since both teams in this matchup have been undervalued, it comes down to who I think is the better team, and that one is an easy answer — on paper, at least. 

In its last five games, Hawaii has played a laughable schedule. First was Duquesne, an FCS school that now has a 2-5 record. The Dukes actually won the yardage battle 364 to 184 in that game but fell short thanks to untimely turnovers. Next were losses to a terrible New Mexico State team and then a San Diego State team playing a converted safety at quarterback due to an unparalleled rash of bad injury luck and poor performance. Most recently were matchups against Nevada and Colorado State, who’ve combined for just four wins this season due to the Jay Norvell mess.

Wyoming’s three losses came to three teams that would win going away against Hawaii — Illinois, BYU, and San Diego State.

Wyoming vs Hawaii Over/Under analysis

The total for this matchup is set at 50.5 as of the time of this writing.

Wyoming should be able to find continued success running the ball after putting up 330 yards on 6.6 yards per carry on the ground last week against the Aggies. Hawaii has been incompetent against the rush, allowing 211.1 yards per game and 5.8 yards per rush. 

Hawaii’s defensive front will likely be pushed around in this matchup considering it ranks 123rd in line yards and 100th in stuff rate. The Rainbow Warriors haven’t been able to create many positive plays, either, ranking 127th in havoc rating. Wyoming has been very solid up front, ranking 48th in line yards and 43rd in havoc while paving way for an effective ground game. 

If Hawaii puts extra men in the box, the secondary could be tested again, considering it recently faced a San Diego State team on essentially its fourth-string quarterback, Jalen Mayden. Despite switching to safety in spring ball and playing on the defensive side of the ball to begin this season, Mayden threw for 322 yards on 8.9 yards per attempt against this beatable Hawaii secondary.

The Over is 8-3 in Wyoming’s last 11 games overall and 4-0 in its last four road games. 

When Hawaii has the ball, it’s not as much of a sure thing that it’ll be able to score. The positive news is that Dedrick Parson is a difference maker at running back, where he’s accumulated 10 touchdowns already this season. After struggling mightily to begin the season, quarterback Brayden Schager has been more reliable in recent weeks. 

Hawaii Unders have been a great bet, going 17-5 in its last 22 conference games and 6-1 in its last seven overall. The offense has shown signs of life lately but will likely struggle against a solid Wyoming defense that ranks 51st in Success Rate. While Wyoming’s offense will be able to move the ball effectively, the Cowboys have scored more than 28 points in a game against an FBS team only once this season, and that came way back in Week 1. The run game should keep the clock moving, which plays toward the Under.

Wyoming vs Hawaii betting trend to know

Wyoming is 6-2 ATS in its last eight conference games. Find more NCAA betting trends for Wyoming vs. Hawai'i.

Wyoming vs Hawaii game info

Location: Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex, Honolulu, HI
Date: Saturday, October 29, 2022
Kickoff: 11:59 p.m. ET

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Wyoming vs Hawaii weather

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