After a perfect 7-0 start to the season, San Diego State fell back down to earth with a loss to Fresno State a week ago.
The Aztecs remain a dangerous Group of 5 team with one of the top defenses in all of college football. They’ll travel to the island in Week 10’s nightcap, taking on Hawaii in front of a full house at Clarence T.C. Ching Complex for the first time this season.
Will playing in front of the home crowd motivate the Rainbow Warriors to pull off the upset, or will the Aztecs get back on track?
Check out our picks and predictions for the San Diego State Aztecs vs. the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors on Saturday, November 6 to find out.
San Diego State vs Hawaii odds
Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.
The line has remained steady since the opener at San Diego State -7.5. Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right up until kickoff and be sure to check out the full college football odds before placing your bets.
San Diego State vs Hawaii picks
Picks made on 11/4/2021 at 8:55 a.m. ET.
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.
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San Diego State vs Hawaii game info
• Location: Clarence T.C. Ching Athletics Complex, Honolulu, HI
• Date: Saturday, November 6, 2021
• Time: 11:00 p.m. ET
• TV: FS1
San Diego State vs Hawaii betting preview
Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our NCAA football weather info.
San Diego State: Zachary Thomas OL (Out)
Hawaii: Dae Dae Hunter RB (Questionable)
Find our latest NCAA football injury reports.
Betting trend to know
The favorite is 7-1-1 ATS in the last nine meetings between these two schools. Find more NCAA betting trends for San Diego State vs. Hawaii.
San Diego State vs Hawaii predictions
San Diego State -7.5 (-105)
Hawaii has benefitted from a very easy schedule and still has a losing record to show for it. The Rainbow Warriors have played a 1-7 New Mexico State squad twice, boosting their record and overall statistics. One win came against FCS Portland State, in which they allowed 35 points — so the Fresno State win is the lone impressive mark on their schedule after nine games.
Hawaii found the win in that Fresno game behind six forced turnovers. They were outgained 505 to 348 — it was a flukey result. San Diego State has taken care of the football well (nine turnovers on the year), so it’s hard to imagine them giving the game away.
Hawaii, meanwhile, has been the complete opposite in regards to taking care of the ball. The Rainbow Warriors rank 129th in the country in turnover margin, which could prove problematic against an opponent that averages over 31 minutes of possession per game.
San Diego State’s calling card is a ferocious defense, allowing only 305 yards per game — 12th in the country. The sixth-ranked rushing defense is allowing only 92.3 yards per game and should help the Aztecs control this game in a road environment.
Over 45.5 (-104)
It’s hard to take the Under in a college football game where the total sits in the mid-40s, so naturally, we’re looking the other way in this one. Hawaii just lost 51-31 to Utah State, in which it allowed 564 yards of offense and 30 total first downs. It hasn’t been the first time that Hawaii has been beaten defensively, as it’s allowed at least 34 points six separate times this season.
Hawaii’s offense faces a tough task against his Aztecs defense but should be able to find a few scores with quarterback Chevan Cordiero back in the fold. While it may be hard to consistently move the chains, a big play or two will likely lead to points with RB/WR Calvin Turner shouldering the load (923 scrimmage yards, 10 TDs). It may not be pretty, but this total is simply too low with a Hawaii team that has combined to go over this mark in all but one of its games.
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