After a rough start, Bill Belichick and the North Carolina Tar Heels have bounced back with two straight wins and are once again in the mix for a bowl game.
To get there, they’ll need to win two of their final three matchups, starting Saturday in Winston-Salem against the 6-3 Wake Forest Demon Deacons.
Both teams have relied on their defenses all season, and those units are expected to make a strong impact once again in this ACC showdown.
Find out who I like in my North Carolina vs. Wake Forest predictions and college football picks for Saturday, November 15.
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North Carolina vs Wake Forest prediction
North Carolina vs Wake Forest best bet: Under 38.5 (-110)
The North Carolina Tar Heels looked awful early in the year allowing 48 points to TCU, 34 to UCF, and 38 to Clemson and losing those three games by a combined 87 points.
However, in their other six games combined, they have only allowed 72 points and finished those games with a +70-point differential.
The Wake Forest Demon Deacons have had a much better season than expected and it has been mostly because of how solid their defense has been thus far.
They rank 30th in the country allowing only 20.3 points per game. They just held 12th-ranked Virginia to only nine points on the road last week.
That was the fifth time this season that Wake Forest had held their opponent below 15 points. North Carolina has had five games this season where the opponent has scored less than 18 points. And neither of these offenses are anything to write home about.
The Tar Heels rank 123rd in the country averaging 19.4 points per game. The Demon Deacons rank 100th averaging 23.3 per contest. This will be a rock fight and will fit what both coaches want.
It is a low total but still worth taking the Under.
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North Carolina vs Wake Forest same-game parlay
To add to my best bet, I am going to take UNC to cover the spread since it will be so low scoring. Also adding Demond Claiborne to stay Under his rushing total against a great UNC rushing defense.
North Carolina vs Wake Forest SGP
- Under 38.5
- North Carolina +6.5
- Demond Claiborne Under 84.5 rushing yards
Our deep-ball SGP: One TD Needed
Jordan Shipp is the leading touchdown scorer for the Tar Heels and even though there won’t be many touchdowns to go around, he will find the endzone for UNC.
North Carolina vs Wake Forest SGP
- Under 38.5
- North Carolina +6.5
- Demond Claiborne Under 84.5 rushing yards
- Jordan Shipp anytime touchdown
North Carolina vs Wake Forest game predictions
North Carolina vs Wake Forest moneyline prediction
North Carolina moneyline (+184 at FanDuel): Bill Belichick and the Tar Heels will get a third straight win here and fight their way into a bowl game.
North Carolina vs Wake Forest spread prediction
North Carolina +6.5 (-115 at FanDuel): UNC is getting 87% of the money despite only 64% of the bets.
North Carolina vs Wake Forest Over/Under prediction
Under 38.5 (-110 at FanDuel): Most of the sharp money is on the Under here with 46% of the money on the Under despite getting only 4% of the bets
North Carolina vs Wake Forest odds
- Spread: North Carolina +6.5 (-115) | Wake Forest -6.5 (-105)
- Moneyline: North Carolina +184 | Wake Forest -220
- Over/Under: Over 38.5 (-110) | Under 38.5 (-110)
North Carolina vs Wake Forest trend to know
North Carolina has hit the Game Total Under in nine of their last 13 games and Wake Forest has hit the Game Total Under in eight of their last 12 games. Find more college football betting trends for North Carolina vs Wake Forest.
How to watch North Carolina vs Wake Forest
| Location | Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium, Winston-Salem, NC |
| Date | Saturday, November 15, 2025 |
| Kickoff | 4:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | The CW Network |
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Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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