The Oregon Ducks may not get the chance to defend their Big Ten title, but things are set up well for them to run the table and return to the College Football Playoff, and that starts Friday night when they welcome the Minnesota Golden Gophers to the Autzen Zoo.
The Ducks are massive favorites for this matchup, but you know they’ll be out to impress the CFP committee, so my Minnesota vs. Oregon predictions break down why you can expect some points in Eugene.
Check out my college football picks for this Big Ten battle.
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Minnesota vs Oregon prediction
Minnesota vs Oregon best bet: Over 44.5 (-105)
It would take a few crazy results for the Oregon Ducks to return to the Big Ten Championship Game this season. But even so, the path to return to the College Football Playoff is clear. Win out and the Ducks will have a very good shot to host an opening-round playoff game.
This week’s matchup against the visiting Minnesota Golden Gophers doesn’t look too stressful on paper. Oregon is a massive 25.5-point favorite, but the Ducks must be prepared to impress the CFP committee with a strong showing on Friday night.
Oregon has won three in a row since its upset loss to Indiana, thanks to its elite running game. The trio of Noah Whittington, Dierre Hill Jr, and Jordon Davison have the Ducks leading the nation in offensive success rate on rushes and EPA per rush. I’m betting Oregon leans on that ground game in this one.
Minnesota enters this game with a solid 6-3 record, which includes a win over Nebraska and has been powered mostly by a strong defense. But the Golden Gophers have struggled in their biggest games. They gave up 41 points to Iowa, and 42 points to Ohio State. Both of those games were also on the road.
And you can run on the Gophers, who rank 81st in success rate vs. the rush and 63rd in opponent EPA per rush.
Oregon’s run game is explosive enough for the Ducks to also put up a 40-burger in this game. While Minnesota’s offense should be able to put up at least one score to send this Over what is a relatively low total.
Minnesota vs Oregon same-game parlay
Well, we spoke about the Ducks’ elite ground game so, let’s put our money where our mouth is by taking both Noah Whittingham and Jordon Davison to go Over their rushing yard props.
Whittingham is the veteran more explosive back of this dynamic duo. He has carried the ball 42 times for 340 yards over the last three games. That’s 8.1 yards per carry and he has rushed for at least 97 in each of those games.
Davison on the other hand, is a bruising freshman who has rumbled over opponents this season. He’s gone for 313 yards on 36 attempts over his last four games. Davison has topped 52 yards in all four games.
Whittingham Over 80.5 yards and Davison Over 51.5 yards both look like great bets in this matchup.
Minnesota vs Oregon SGP
- Over 44.5
- Noah Whitttingham Over 80.5 rushing yards
- Jordon Davison Over 51.5 rushing yards
Our deep-ball SGP: Davison keeps racking in TDs
Not only has Davison become a reliable runner in the last several games, but he's the Ducks' go-to man near the goal line, having already scored 10 touchdowns this season.
Minnesota vs Oregon SGP
- Over 44.5
- Noah Whitttingham Over 80.5 rushing yards
- Jordon Davison Over 51.5 rushing yards
- Jordon Davison 2+ TDs
Minnesota vs Oregon odds
- Spread: Minnesota +25.5 | Oregon -25.5
- Moneyline: Minnesota +1600 | Oregon -4200
- Over/Under: Over 44.5 | Under 44.5
Minnesota vs Oregon trend to know
Minnesota has only covered the spread in five of their last 12 games for -2.70 Units and a -21% ROI. Find more college football betting trends for Minnesota vs Oregon.
How to watch Minnesota vs Oregon
| Location | Autzen Stadium, Eugene, OR |
| Date | Friday, November 14, 2025 |
| Kickoff | 9:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | FOX |
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Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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