Hawaii vs Nevada Picks and Predictions: Back the Pack at Home

Nevada and its star QB Carson Strong come into this matchup rolling on offense and look to avenge last year's upset loss to Hawaii. Find out if we're backing them this week in our Hawaii vs Nevada picks.

Last Updated: Oct 14, 2021 2:04 PM ET Read Time: 4 min
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The Mountain West gives college football betting fans a nightcap to look forward to as the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors travel to Reno to take on the Nevada Wolf Pack.

Nevada sits at 4-1 on the season and is a contender for the conference championship. The Wolf Pack’s lone MWC game resulted in a comfortable win over conference elite Boise State, so they have every reason to fancy their chances in 2021. Will they handle business over Hawaii, or falter under the lofty expectations?

Check out our picks and predictions for the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors vs. the Nevada Wolfpack on Saturday, October 16 to find out.

Hawaii vs Nevada odds

Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.

Nevada opened -15.5 but has been bet down to -14 across most books at the time of this writing. Be sure to check out the full college football odds before placing your bets, and also view the full line movement for this game.

Hawaii vs Nevada picks

Picks made on 10/14/2021 at 1:00 p.m. ET.
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.

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Hawaii vs Nevada game info

Location: Mackay Stadium, Reno, NV
Date: Saturday, October 16, 2021
Time: 10:30 p.m. ET

Hawaii vs Nevada betting preview


Be sure to monitor the gametime conditions with our NCAA football weather info.

Key injuries

Hawaii: Chevan Cordeiro QB (Probable), Cameron Lockeridge DB (Questionable)
Nevada: Romeo Doubs WR (Probable), Elijah Cooks WR (Out), Tyson Williams DB (Out)
Find our latest NCAA football injury reports.

Betting trend to know

The Wolf Pack are 6-0 ATS in their last six games following an ATS loss. Find more NCAA betting trends for Hawaii vs. Nevada.

Hawaii vs Nevada predictions

Nevada is a program with a clear direction right now, and that direction is up. After finishing at 7-2 last year under head coach Jay Norvell, the Wolf Pack have responded with a 4-1 start to 2021 including an impressive win over conference rival Boise State.

They’ve been rolling against the spread, too, going 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games.

Carson Strong is one of the top quarterbacks in the Group of Five. If you don’t know his name, you probably should get familiar before he’s selected highly in the next NFL draft. 

Confidence will be sky-high after Strong threw for 377 yards and a career-high six touchdowns a week ago against New Mexico State. The Wolf Pack scored 52 unanswered points in that contest and did so without the help of star wide receiver Romeo Doubs, who is probable to return against Hawaii. Strong should throw the ball all over the yard against this 119th ranked Hawaii secondary allowing 292 passing yards per game. 

Although Hawaii beat Fresno State last game (a resume booster, for sure), they were outgained 505 to 348 and benefited from six turnovers. Unless it can rely on a handful of turnovers here — which is a tough task on the road against a quarterback of Strong’s caliber — the results should not be similar. 

Starting quarterback Chevan Cordeiro is questionable to return after missing the Fresno State game. Coach Todd Graham said that he expects both Cordeiro and Brayden Schager to play against Nevada.

The Wolf Pack have responded well following an ATS loss, going 6-0 ATS in the last six games in such a scenario. I expect them to do just that here and gain revenge for last year’s upset loss in Hawaii. 

Strong and this Nevada passing offense should have a field day against a Hawaii secondary that is poor in coverage. Outside of the opener against UCLA where the game entered garbage time before the start of the second half in a blowout, Hawaii has been torched through the air against every team they have played. They’re allowing 321 passing yards per game in their last five contests.

Wolf Pack receiver Romeo Doubs is probable to return after missing last week’s game, which would be an additional boost. Doubs has over 1300 receiving yards in his past 13 games. Star tight end Cole Turner has 13 touchdowns in his past 14 games. Both should find breathing room against a porous Hawaii secondary.

The trends point to the Under when you look at Hawaii, but trend to the Over when examining Nevada. We expect Nevada to have success in this matchup and dictate the game, which would lend more toward their side of things. The Over is 4-0 in the Wolf Pack’s last four games overall and 4-0-1 in their last five home games.

Nevada games have been lighting up the scoreboard with 72 and 83 combined points in their last 2 games respectively. We expect more points this Saturday night.

College football parlays

Did you know that if you parlayed our Hawai'i vs. Nevada picks, you could win $25.69 on a $10 bet?

Use our college football parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.

Where can I bet on college football odds?

You can bet on college football odds at every online and casino sportsbook, including NCAA moneylines, spreads, Over/Under totals, and a ton of college football prop odds. Head over to our best football betting sites for the top spots to bet on college football odds in your area.

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