The newest College Football Playoffs rankings from the Playoff selection committee changed exactly one item in the pertinent top, swapping Oregon into the No. 6 seed with Mississippi falling to the No. 7.
That hardly impacted any National Championship odds. In fact, no one’s got longer.
College Football Playoff odds
Biggest Riser
Alabama’s odds did shorten to +1500 from +1700, and that could arguably be tied to the flip of Oregon with Mississippi. The Tide would now not need to face the Ducks in the first round, bettering their chances of advancing.
Yes, that is to plainly say Oregon is better than Mississippi.
Biggest Drop
Surprisingly, Oklahoma's odds fell the furthest, down to +3000 from +2700 before the rankings were released.
Why? Oklahoma slots in at No. 8 right now. The Sooners would have a home game in the first round. Shouldn’t that shorten their college football odds?
Consider this the bookmakers’ nod to how good they believe Notre Dame is, which is Oklahoma’s likely opponent in that first round. That may be a bit short-sighted, both in that the Sooners have arguably the best defensive front in college football and in that these rankings are likely to still shuffle, making that matchup far from a certainty... but it still makes sense.
The most likely bracket is some version of this one, with Oklahoma at No. 8 and Notre Dame at No. 9 — but look at USC at No. 7 Oregon, No. 4 Georgia at Georgia Tech, and No. 6 Mississippi at Mississippi State as possible causes of chaos — and in that most likely bracket, the Sooners would have the most difficult path to the Playoff semifinals, going through both the Irish and the No. 1 Ohio State Buckeyes.
