Troy vs Georgia Southern Prediction, Picks & Odds for Today's Sun Belt Championship Game

Ed Scimia - Contributor at Covers.com
Ed Scimia • Betting Analyst 17+ years betting experience
Updated: Mar 9, 2026 , 12:21 PM ET • 4 min read

Scimia's prediction: Georgia Southern plays to high totals, and that continues with an automatic berth into the NCAA tournament on the line against Troy.

NCAAB

Match starts: 5 hrs
GASO
56 %
TROY
44 %
EXPERT PICK - TOTAL
o150.0 (-110)
Read Analysis
Tyren Moore Georgia Southern Eagles NCAA College Basketball
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Georgia Southern Eagles guard Tyren Moore (12) drives to the basket

The Georgia Southern Eagles will try to upset the Troy Trojans as the two programs battle for an automatic bid in the final of the Sun Belt Championship tonight.

The Eagles regularly play to big totals, and I’m expecting more of the same as I back the Over in my Georgia Southern vs. Troy predictions.

Read on for a full breakdown of this conference championship game in my free college basketball picks for Monday, March 9.

Troy vs Georgia Southern prediction

Who will win Troy vs Georgia Southern?

Georgia Southern is the hot team right now, but Troy has been the class of the Sun Belt Conference all season and has won the last four meetings between these teams. While I’m expecting a close game, the Trojans are the pick to walk away with an automatic bid to March Madness.

Troy vs Georgia Southern best bet

Troy vs Georgia Southern best bet: Over 150 (-110)

The Georgia Southern Eagles and Troy Trojans may not be among the most efficient offenses in college basketball, but they both put up points nonetheless. The Eagles are averaging 81.5 points per game on the year, while the Trojans nearly match them at 80.4.

That showed in the first meeting between these teams this season, which ended with 161 points scored.

The Eagles have played to totals well above tonight’s number in each of their last six games, all of which have been wins. With both offenses clicking throughout the Sun Belt Championship, I’m backing the Over again in tonight’s game.

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Troy vs Georgia Southern same-game parlay

Along with the Over, I’m also going to take the Eagles to cover in the championship game. While Troy won the regular-season matchup between these teams, it was only a five-point game, and Georgia Southern has covered in each of its last six games overall.

I’ll also take Tyren Moor to score Over 18.5 points, something he’s done in three of his last four games.

Troy vs Georgia Southern SGP

  • Over 150
  • Georgia Southern +6.5
  • Tyren Moore Over 18.5 points

Our beyond the arc SGP: Rockstar Spudd

For my lottery SGP, I’m going to bank on a big game from Georgia Southern guard Spudd Webb, who came up huge in the semifinal win against the Marshall Thundering Herd.

I’m taking Webb to hit Over 1.5 shots from beyond the arc — something he’s done twice in this tournament — and dish out at least three assists after averaging 2.5 per game for the season.

Troy vs Georgia Southern SGP

  • Over 150
  • Georgia Southern +6.5
  • Spudd Webb Over 1.5 made threes
  • Spudd Webb Over 2.5 assists

Troy vs Georgia Southern odds

  • Spread: Troy -6.5 (-110) | Georgia Southern +6.5 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Troy -275 | Georgia Southern +225
  • Over/Under: Over 150 (-110) | Under 150 (-110)

Troy vs Georgia Southern betting trend to know

Georgia Southern has played to a total of 157+ points in each of its last six games overall. Find more college basketball betting trends for Troy vs. Georgia Southern.

How to watch Troy vs Georgia Southern

Location Pensacola Bay Center, Pensacola, FL
Date Monday, March 9, 2026
Tip-off 7:00 p.m. ET
TV ESPN2

Troy vs Georgia Southern key injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
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Ed Scimia - Covers.com
Betting Analyst

Ed Scimia has been writing about the gaming industry for over 15 years. He graduated from Syracuse University with degrees in Magazine Journalism and Political Science in 2003, and has covered major gambling events like the World Series of Poker in his career. Since joining Covers in 2022, Ed has offered his sports betting analysis primarily on MLB, NFL, college football, and college basketball games, but is willing to take on any sport.

His betting strategy focuses more on finding line value based on deviations from the market rather than traditional handicapping, primarily shopping between DraftKings, FanDuel, and Fanatics in his home state of Connecticut, though he’s not afraid to do deep game analysis to find profitable bets at any book.

Outside of gambling, Ed is an avid curler who competes in mixed doubles on the World Curling Tour and runs a popular curling YouTube channel, Chess on Ice. That experience has come in handy during the Olympics, when he has proven to be a successful curling bettor as well. 

Ed's advice to new bettors is to always open multiple sportsbook accounts and check the odds at each before placing any bet. Successful sports betting is about consistently beating the closing line value, which requires finding spots where one book is offering odds far better than the rest of the market and jumping on those opportunities.

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