Seton Hall vs Providence Picks and Predictions: Pirates Defend the Ship

We’ve got an exciting matchup between two Big East teams tonight as the Seton Hall Pirates play their first conference game of the season against the Providence Friars.

Seton Hall has just one loss on the season against Ohio State. Meanwhile, Providence has gone 11-1 on the season with their lone loss coming against Virginia, by 18, on a neutral court. 

Here are our college basketball picks and predictions for Seton Hall vs Providence on Wednesday, December 29.

Seton Hall vs Providence odds

Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.

Providence opened as a 1-point favorite, at home, but Seton Hall is now being offered at -1.5 by some books. However, the total has dropped from 138 at the opening to 136.5. 

Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right up until tip-off and be sure to check out the full college basketball odds before placing your bets.

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Seton Hall vs Providence predictions

• Prediction: Seton Hall +1 (-110)
• Prediction: Under 136.5 (-120)
• Best bet: Seton Hall +1 (-110)

Predictions made on 12/29/2021 at 8:55 a.m. ET.
Click on each prediction to jump to the full analysis.

Seton Hall vs Providence game info

• Location: Dunkin Donuts Center, Providence, RI
• Date: Wednesday, December 29, 2021
• Tip-off: 7:00 p.m. ET
• TV: FS1

Seton Hall at Providence betting preview

Injuries

Seton Hall: Jahari Long G (Questionable), Ike Obiagu C (Questionable), Brandon Weston G (Out).
Providence: No injuries to report.

Find our latest NCAA basketball injury reports.

Betting trend to know

Pirates are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games vs. a team with a winning straight-up record. Find more NCAA betting trends for Seton Hall vs. Providence.

Seton Hall vs Providence picks and predictions

Our predictions are compiled from the analysis of the spread and total and are indications of where we are leaning for this game.
Our best bet is the play that we like the most for this game, which we would actually put some of our bankroll behind.

Spread analysis

Every year the Big East gets better and better. Tonight, the conference is putting together a game between two Top-25 teams in the AP Poll. It doesn’t get much better than that. 

Seton Hall hasn’t shot the ball particularly well this season, firing under 30% from long range on the year. However, the Pirates are also turning the ball over on just 16.1% of possessions and have been solid on the offensive glass, grabbing 31.2% of offensive rebounds. 

Seton Hall has done better inside the arc, shooting 52.6%, and has hit over 75% of foul shots on the season while getting to the line at a high rate. 

But the Pirates haven’t been known for offense this season. It’s the defense that’s helping them win games. Seton Hall is holding teams to an effective field goal percentage of 43% by limiting opponents to 24.7% from the three-point range. 

Seton Hall has also held opponents to 22.1% offensive rebounds and just 45.5% from the field inside the arc. Despite all of this, teams are shooting over 79% from the foul line against Seton Hall. 

So, while Seton Hall has dominated defensively and has won every game but one this season, they’ve also had to overcome some unlucky variance at the free-throw stripe. Providence, however, is getting to the line at one of the highest rates in college basketball. Seton Hall doesn’t foul very often, so it’ll be interesting to see how all of that plays out. 

Providence has struggled from long range, just like Seton Hall, and will likely be limited on the glass against the Pirates. 

Tonight’s game is evenly matched. I will say that Seton Hall defends the three better and if the Pirates can limit foul shots defensively, they’ll be in great shape to pull off this minor upset. 

Prediction: Seton Hall +1 (-110)

Over/Under analysis

The total is trending down a bit since opening and now I’m intrigued. For Seton Hall, the game plan will be to hold Providence away from the line. If Seton Hall is capable of doing that, not only will the Pirates win, but they’ll be able to keep this game Under the total.

Neither team should have much success from three-point range and it’s going to be hard to earn many offensive rebounds in this game as well. 

If there’s going to be less fouling, then I agree with the line movement. I still think there’s value on the Under. 

Prediction: Under 136.5 (-120)

Best bet

I’m not the biggest fan of taking underdogs on the road, but Seton Hall already defeated Michigan on the road this season. They’ll be up to the challenge, especially with conference play starting for them. 

I like Seton Hall to win by a couple of points. So, with that and the additional one point against the spread, I’ll take the Pirates here. 

Pick: Seton Hall +1 (-110)

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