NC State vs Virginia Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight's College Basketball Game

Rohit Ponnaiya - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rohit Ponnaiya • Betting Analyst 8+ years betting experience
Updated: Feb 24, 2026 , 04:08 PM ET • 4 min read

The Hoos defend at a high level inside and out, which is a big reason why we're betting on them to cover the first-half spread at home.

NCAAB

Feb 24 • 7:00 PM ET
NCST
44 %
UVA
56 %
EXPERT PICK - SPREAD
Virginia -3.5 (-110) Virginia -3.5 (-110)
See Today's Picks
Virginia Cavaliers center Ugonna Onyenso battles for the ball.
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Virginia Cavaliers center Ugonna Onyenso battles for the ball.

Tonight, the No. 11-ranked Virginia Cavaliers aim to secure their ninth consecutive win as they host the NC State Wolfpack.

The Hoos defeated the Wolfpack 76-61 in Raleigh on January 3, and my NC State vs. Virginia predictions expect a similar outcome. 

Here are my top free college basketball picks for this ACC matchup on Tuesday, February 24.

NC State vs Virginia prediction

NC State vs Virginia best bet: Virginia 1H -3.5 (-110)

The Virginia Cavaliers are 13-1 at home with an average first-half margin of +12.6. Meanwhile, the NC State Wolfpack are coming off a blowout win against injury-depleted UNC but had failed to cover in their previous four games.

NC State’s biggest strength is its perimeter shooting (39.6% 3PT), but Virginia is 19th in the country in 3-point defense (30.1%). UVA also ranks 10th in 2-point defense (45.2%) thanks to elite rim protectors Johann Grunloh and Ugonna Onyenso.

With the Hoos also boasting an efficient attack with balanced scoring and dominant offensive rebounding, back them on the first half spread.

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NC State vs Virginia same-game parlay

Wolfpack guard Quadir Copeland (14.0 ppg) has finished with fewer than 12 points in four of his last six games. He'll have a tough time clearing 14.5 points against a stingy UVA defense that has the ability to slow down the tempo.

Dallin Hall has knocked down a triple in 18 of 27 games this season, and NC State sits outside the top 300 in threes allowed per game (8.9).

NC State vs Virginia SGP

  • Virginia 1H -3.5
  • Quadir Copeland Under 14.5 points
  • Dallin Hall Over 0.5 threes

Our beyond the arc SGP: Back the Belgian

Forward Thijs De Ridder leads UVA in points (15.9) and rebounds (6.4) per game. If he can exploit NC State’s soft interior, the Hoosiers should cover both the full-game spread and the first-half line.

NC State vs Virginia SGP

  • Virginia 1H -3.5
  • Virginia -6.5
  • Quadir Copeland Under 14.5 points
  • Thijs De Ridder Over 14.5 points
  • Thijs De Ridder Over 6.5 rebounds

NC State vs Virginia odds

  • Spread: NC State +6.5 (-110) | Virginia -6.5 (-110)
  • Moneyline: NC State +220 | Virginia -270
  • Over/Under: Over 151 (-110) | Under 151 (-110)

NC State vs Virginia betting trend to know

The Hoos have covered the first half spread in 10 of their last 15 home games (+4.40 Units / 26% ROI). Find more college basketball betting trends for NC State vs. Virginia.

How to watch NC State vs Virginia

Location John Paul Jones Arena, Charlottesville, VA
Date Tuesday, February 24, 2026
Tip-off 7:00 p.m. ET
TV ESPN Unlimited

NC State vs Virginia key injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst

With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, combined with a journalism degree, it's little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He specializes in betting on UFC and college basketball, two sports where the eyeball test can tell you a lot more about matchups than analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games as well as niche betting markets such as politics. He's also the resident CFL expert and formerly hosted "The Chez and Ro Show" with former CFL star Davis Sanchez.

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