NC State is set to meet Virginia today with a trip to the ACC Tournament semifinals on the line. Tip-off is at 12:00 p.m. ET on ESPN2.
Virginia is the more rested team, and my NC State vs. Virginia predictions expect that to loom large — especially on the interior.
Find out why I like the Cavaliers to take care of business in my college basketball picks for Thursday, March 12.
NC State vs Virginia prediction
NC State vs Virginia best bet
NC State vs Virginia best bet: Virginia -4.5 (-116)
NC State’s entire offense is built on two things: transition scoring and bigs cutting from the high post.
Guess what Virginia does better than almost anyone in the country? Defend those two actions. That was on full display during the Cavaliers’ 29-point thumping of the Wolfpack back on Feb. 24.
NC State will be stuck in mid-range purgatory, and Virginia should be able to clamp down on the Wolfpack offense while enjoying some advantages on the other end.
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NC State vs Virginia same-game parlay
I anticipated the total being around 147.5.
There are no clear points of attack for NC State, and I expect this one to be played mostly in the half-court.
NC State vs Virginia SGP
- Virginia -4.5
- Under 150.5
Our beyond the arc SGP: Gotta have my props
I like the angle of playing the best rebounder on a well-rested team against one that just played yesterday.
I paired this with Malik Thomas to grab two threes. He is the primary option on attack-and-kick sets.
Copeland is overly reliant on rim scores, and the Cavs are among the best teams in the country around the rim.
NC State vs Virginia SGP
- Virginia -5.5
- Thijs De Ridder Over 6.5 rebounds
- Malik Thomas Over 1.5 threes
- Quadir Copeland Under 15.5 points
NC State vs Virginia odds
- Spread: NC State +5.5 (-110) | Virginia -5.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: NC State +170 | Virginia -205
- Over/Under: Over 148.5 (-110) | Under 148.5 (-110)
NC State vs Virginia betting trend to know
NC State has lost four of its last five games. Find more college basketball betting trends for NC State vs. Virginia.
How to watch NC State vs Virginia
| Location | Spectrum Center, Charlotte, NC |
| Date | Thursday, March 12, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 12:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | ESPN2 |
NC State vs Virginia key injuries
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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