Houston vs Kansas Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight's College Basketball Game

Houston plays at a snail's pace and often struggles with its shooting. However, the Cougars defense is supremely elite and will suppress both Kansas' scoring and the game total.

Phil Naessens - Contributor at Covers.com
Phil Naessens • Betting Analyst
Feb 23, 2026 • 09:15 ET • 4 min read

NCAAB

Match starts: 10 hrs
HOU
60 %
KU
40 %
EXPERT PICK - TOTAL
u138.5 (-116)
Read Analysis
Kingston Flemings Houston Cougars NCAA College Basketball
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Houston Cougars guard Kingston Flemings (4) dribbles against the Kansas State Wildcats.

Tonight’s college basketball schedule features an outstanding Big 12 clash when No. 8 Kansas Jayhawks host the No. 2 Houston Cougars. 

Both groups live and die by their defense, and my Houston vs. Kansas predictions expect an old-fashioned rock-fight at Allen Fieldhouse. 

Read on for my college basketball picks for Monday, February 23. 

Houston vs Kansas prediction

Houston vs Kansas best bet: Under 138.5 (-110)

The Houston Cougars play at one of the slowest tempos in the country, making their money on half-court defense and offensive rebounding, instead of potent scoring.

The Kansas Jayhawks have struggled on the glass and just got outworked inside by Cincinnati. They are a Top-15 KenPom defense, and they face a Cougars squad boasting a mediocre 52.5% effective field goal percentage.

Both groups have solid assist-to-turnover rates, so we shouldn’t see a ton of easy transition buckets. Two defense-first identities will lead to a low-scoring clash.

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Houston vs Kansas same-game parlay

Flory Bidunga is the Jayhawks' top rebounder. He’s grabbed 10+ boards in five straight and should see volume on the glass against Houston’s pedestrian eFG%. 

Bidunga’s rebounding prowess aside, Houston makes its living on the offensive glass and forcing turnovers. It should get enough of both to sneak past Kansas for the fourth consecutive time. 

Houston vs Kansas SGP

  • Under 138.5
  • Flory Bidunga Over 9.5 rebounds
  • Houston moneyline

Our beyond the arc SGP: Flemings forces the issue

Kansas struggles on the glass. Kingston Flemings is a sneaky rebounder and has snagged at least five rebounds in four of his last five games. 

Houston vs Kansas SGP

  • Under 138.5
  • Flory Bidunga Over 9.5 rebounds
  • Houston moneyline
  • Kingston Flemings Over 4.5 rebounds

Houston vs Kansas odds

  • Spread: Houston -2.5 (-110) | Kansas +2.5 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Houston -150 | Kansas +125
  • Over/Under: Over 138 (-110) | Under 138 (-110)

Houston vs Kansas betting trend to know

Houston has hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.60 Units / 40% ROI). Find more college basketball betting trends for Houston vs. Kansas.

How to watch Houston vs Kansas

Location Allen Fieldhouse, Lawrence, KS
Date Monday, February 23, 2026
Tip-off 9:00 p.m. ET
TV ESPN

Houston vs Kansas key injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Prior to joining Covers in 2022, Phil Naessens spent 38 years as a resident tennis pro in Las Vegas, Mykonos, and Corfu, Greece. He’s the past host of the Phil Naessens Show (Armed Forces Radio), and currently hosts the Crush and Rush Tennis Podcast.

Phil is the author of the Betting 101 series (MLB, NFL, NCAAF, and Tennis) and has written for numerous publications, including Advance Local, SB Nation, FanSided, and Lenny Melnick Fantasy Sports. 

His favorite sports to bet on are tennis, MLB, WNBA, Euro men’s and women’s hoops, NCAA sports, NFL, and the NBA. Phil has numerous betting accounts in the US and Europe, and his best advice is to line shop for the best value possible.

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