The No. 4 ranked Tennessee Volunteers look to continue their early season dominance as they welcome the Georgia Bulldogs to Thompson-Boling Arena on Wednesday night.
The Bulldogs are having a resurgent season under new head coach Mike White but will look out of their depth against a Vols side that is among the best in the nation.
The Vols opened as massive 16.5-point home favorites with the Over/Under at 135.5. Here are my best free Georgia vs. Tennessee college basketball picks and predictions for Janaury 25.
Georgia vs Tennessee best odds
Georgia vs Tennessee picks and predictions
The Bulldogs team total for this game is set at just 59.5 but when you consider their offensive struggles and Tennessee's dominance on defense, the Under looks like a strong play.
Georgia is just 290th in the country in field-goal percentage (42.5%) while ranking 265th in turnover rate (19.4%). That will make it very tough to put up points on the road against a Tennessee squad that holds opponents to the lowest field goal percentage in the country (34.2%) and ranks ninth in opponent turnover rate (24.4%).
The Vols are limiting foes to just 54.4 points per game, and it isn't like that number is amplified by games against weak, small-conference foes. They've held seven of their last 10 Power-Six opponents below 59.5 points.
Of the three schools that went Over that number during that span, Arizona and Kentucky are vastly more talented offensively than Georgia, while Vanderbilt also ranks significantly higher in adjusted offensive efficiency and shot just 38% from the floor.
My best bet: Georgia team total Under 59.5 (-125 at bet365)
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Georgia vs Tennessee spread analysis
The Bulldogs are on a two-game skid and are coming off an 85-82 loss to Vanderbilt at home. They shouldn't be too concerned about that, though, since they already have more than twice as many wins as they did all of last season and are 3-3 in SEC play after going a pathetic 1-17 in 2022.
Georgia has been competitive, with wins against Notre Dame and Auburn along with a slew of close defeats, but this is a team that will struggle in several areas vs. a Tennessee team gunning for the first Final Four appearance in program history.
The Volunteers are 15-2 SU and 11-6 ATS in their last 17 games. They recently lost to a vastly talented (albeit underperforming) Kentucky squad but have bounced back with consecutive double-digit victories on the road against Mississippi State and LSU.
Tennessee lacks a true go-to scorer or shot-creator but all five starters average double-digits, led by Santiago Vescovi (12.5ppg, 3.2 apg, 2.2 spg).
Georgia is led by guards Terry Roberts (15.9 ppg, 4.2 apg) and Kario Oquendo (13.4 ppg) but nobody else on the team averages more than 8.0 ppg.
Georgia vs Tennessee Over/Under analysis
Both of these schools play at a below-average pace, with UGA ranking 171st in the country in adjusted tempo and Tennessee ranking 195th.
With Tennessee's elite defense and my best bet being the Under on Georgia's team total, you might be thinking about playing the Under on the game total here.
Be warned, oddsmakers seem to have adjusted to how low-scoring Tennessee's games have been and might be sleeping on how effective the Vols are on the other end of the floor lately.
Sure, the Vols have the top-rated defense in the country, according to KenPom, but they also rank an impressive 31st in offensive efficiency despite the inconsistent shooting. A big reason for that is their hard work on the offensive glass, where they rank second in the country in rebounding rate.
Five of the Vols' last six games have gone above the total while the Over is 5-2 in Georgia's last seven contests.
Georgia vs Tennessee betting trend to know
The Volunteers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games. Find more College basketball betting trends for Georgia vs. Tennessee.
Georgia vs Tennessee game info
|Location:||Thompson-Boling Arena, Knoxville, TN|
|Date:||Wednesday, January 25, 2023|
|Tip-off:||7:00 p.m. ET|