Florida vs Texas Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight's College Basketball Game

Shawn Krest's college basketball betting picks are calling for an authoritative Gators victory over the Longhorns tonight.

Shawn Krest - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Shawn Krest • Betting Analyst
Feb 25, 2026 • 10:54 ET • 4 min read

NCAAB

Match starts: 6 hrs
FLA
64 %
TEX
36 %
EXPERT PICK - SPREAD
Florida -6.0 (-116) Florida -6.0 (-116)
Read Analysis
Florida Gators Urban Klavzar NCAAM
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Florida Gators guard Urban Klavzar (7) drives to the basket.

The defending national champions appear to be back in form just as March approaches this year. The Florida Gators have won seven straight, going 5-2 ATS, including four straight Quad I victories (3-1 ATS).

The Texas Longhorns host the Gators on Wednesday, February 25, while hoping for an improvement on defense. But my Florida vs. Texas predictions and college basketball picks aren’t sure this is the Longhorns’ get-well game on D.

Florida vs Texas prediction

Florida vs Texas best bet: Florida -6 (-116)

The Florida Gators have made a mockery of a tough SEC schedule. They are 6-1 in Quad I conference games and beat Alabama, Texas A&M, and Georgia by 60 combined points in a 10-day span before “only” beating Kentucky by nine in an ATS loss.

The Texas Longhorns had a season-high five-game winning streak ended when Georgia lit it up, hitting 62% on 2-pointers and 55% from three. Texas ranks No. 278 in perimeter defense and has allowed an eFG% over 50% and nearly 1.1 points per possession.

Look for Florida’s No. 13 offense to prevail.

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Florida vs Texas same-game parlay

Texas plays at the No. 214 pace in the country, but its shaky defense has made it difficult to dictate tempo in recent games. The Longhorns have gone Over in five straight.

Florida is No. 35 in tempo and has gone Over two of the last three after ending its stretch of games against Quad I defenses. Look for the Gators to push tempo and run Texas out of the arena.

While Florida isn’t an elite 3-point shooting team, Klavzar hits 40% from outside and should take advantage of one of the worst 3-point defenses in power conference basketball. He’s hit 15 threes in the last five games.

Florida vs Texas SGP

  • Florida -6
  • Over 158
  • Urban Klavzar Over 9.5 points

Our beyond the arc SGP: Haugh gets his

Thomas Haugh takes five threes a game and should be able to add some points against the Longhorns' perimeter D. 

Chinyelu has 98 rebounds in his last seven games. In his last seven against Quad I opponents, he’s gotten 102.

Florida vs Texas SGP

  • Over 158
  • Urban Klavzar Over 9.5 points
  • Thomas Haugh Over 16.5 points 
  • Ruben Chinyelu Over 11.5 rebounds

Florida vs Texas odds

  • Spread: Florida -6 | Texas +6
  • Moneyline: Florida -286 | Texas +210
  • Over/Under: Over 158 | Under 158

Florida vs Texas betting trend to know

Texas has hit the Over in 17 of its last 25 games. Find more college basketball betting trends for Florida vs. Texas.

How to watch Florida vs Texas

Location Moody Center, Austin, TX
Date Wednesday, February 25, 2026
Tip-off 7:00 p.m. ET
TV ESPN2

Florida vs Texas key injuries

Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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Shawn Krest
Betting Analyst

Since quitting his job as bank assistant vice-president in 2000, Shawn has covered Final Fours, Super Bowls, World Series games and title fights in boxing and UFC. His work has appeared on ESPN, MLB.com, Sports Illustrated and dozens of other outlets. His book, Baseball Meat Market was published in 2018. He lives in North Carolina with his dog Toby, eight turtles, and wife.

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