California vs Stanford Picks and Predictions for February 7

The Stanford Cardinal are 11-7 this season and are coming off a 70-55 beating on Thursday of this same very California squad they face again tonight.

Rohit Ponnaiya - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Rohit Ponnaiya • Betting Analyst
Feb 7, 2021 • 12:37 ET
Jaiden Delaire Stanford Cardinal NCAA
Photo By - USA TODAY Sports

It's Super Bowl Sunday and most leagues know better than to compete with the NFL for eyeballs. However, there is one college basketball betting option to watch after the Lombardi Trophy is handed out, with the California Golden Bears facing the Stanford Cardinal at 10 p.m. ET.

So if you've got some money burning a hole in your pocket with your Super Bowl winnings, check out our best free California vs. Stanford picks and predictions for Sunday, February 7.

California Golden Bears at Stanford Cardinal Betting Preview

Key Injuries

California: None.
Stanford: Ziaire Williams F (Questionable), Daejon Davis G (Questionable), Bryce Wills G (Questionable).

Find our latest NCAA basketball injury reports.

Betting Trend to Know

The Under is 10-1 in the Golden Bears' last 11 games against teams with a straight up winning record. Find more NCAA betting trends for California vs. Stanford.

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NCAAB Sharp Money and Line Movement Report

By Patrick Everson

Stanford opened -11.5 and is down to -10.5 at PointsBet USA, where the Cardinal are attracting 59 percent of bets and 73 percent of money on the point spread. The total went from 132.5 to 131.5 to 132. "The total is seeing good two-way action, with 61 percent of bets on the Over and the handle 50/50," PointsBet USA's Patrick Eichner said.

Check out the full line movement for this game

Against the Spread (ATS) Pick

Cal was embarrassed on their home court against Stanford on Thursday, losing 70-55. That game was all about momentum, with the Golden Bears taking a 16-13 lead after the first 10 minutes before the Cardinal went on a 29-13 run to close the half.

In the second half, the Bears once again roared out of the gate, going on a 14-4 run to cut the lead to just three points. Then they went ice cold from the field, allowing Stanford to pull away for the easy victory.

The big question for Stanford is the status of three starters with Ziaire Williams, Daejon Davis, and Bryce Wills listed as questionable tonight. All three have missed the last several games for the Cardinal.

Stanford has played hard without them, winning on the road against Arizona and beating UCLA in overtime. If any of those starters play tonight, the Cardinal will be able to cover this spread and, even if they don't, their depth still gives them a decent chance against a Golden Bears team that might be the worst in the conference.

Cal is just 2-11 SU in Pac-12 play this year and has gotten wrecked on the road, losing by 21 points to Arizona, 29 to Colorado and 20 to UCLA. The Bears are also just 6-16 ATS in their last 22 games on the road.

Meanwhile, the Cardinal are 18-8 ATS in their last 26 games as home favorites, and keep in mind that this is just their second game at Maples Pavillion this season after playing at Santa Cruz due to COVID-19 restrictions. Lay the points with Stanford.

PREDICTION: Stanford -10.5 (-110)

Over/Under Pick

The Golden Bears have been brutal on the offensive end of the floor, averaging just 65.2 points per game, with that number dropping to 59.6 ppg over their last five contests. They also play at an incredibly slow pace, ranking 321st in the country in adjusted tempo, according to KenPom

That plodding style of play, along with a lack of scoring punch, has led to the Bears going 10-1 to the Under in their last 11 games against winning teams.

When these teams met up on Thursday, Stanford shot a sizzling 54 percent from the field and still scored a modest 70 points. While the Cardinal are strong on the offensive end of the floor, they usually aren't anywhere near as efficient, shooting 46.3 percent on the year.

That said, Stanford has been very efficient on defense, boasting the nation's 17th best adjusted defensive efficiency per KenPom. And while Cal has been a great Under bet against strong teams, the Cardinal have been a terrific Under bet against poor teams, going 0-5 O/U in their previous five games against teams with a losing SU record. Back the Under.

PREDICTION: Under 131.5 (-110)

California vs Stanford Betting Card

  • Stanford -10.5 (-110)
  • Under 131.5 (-110)
NCAA Parlays

Did you know that if you parlayed today’s NCAA California vs. Stanford picks, you could win $26.45 on a $10 bet?

Use our NCAA parlay calculator to create your own parlays and see their potential payouts.

Where Can I Bet on College Basketball?

You can bet on college basketball odds at every online and casino sportsbook, including NCAA moneylines, spreads, Over/Under totals, and a ton of prop odds. Head over to our best-suggested sportsbooks for the top spots to bet on college basketball odds in your area.

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Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst

With a background playing soccer, rugby, and boxing, combined with a journalism degree, it's little surprise that Rohit gravitated towards the world of sports betting. He specializes in betting on UFC and college basketball, two sports where the eyeball test can tell you a lot more about matchups than any analytics. Rohit has years of experience handicapping NFL and NBA games as well as niche betting markets such as politics and Oscar odds. He's also the resident CFL expert and formerly hosted "The Chez and Ro Show" with former CFL star Davis Sanchez. You can catch Rohit breaking down every UFC event with Joe Osborne on "P4P Picks" on the Covers YouTube channel and he also has regular appearances on "Before You Bet" with Joe. In addition, he's a regular guest on "By The Book" on the Monumental Sports Network and makes guest appearances on VSIN's "The Handle" and CBS Sports. Rohit primarily makes his bets at bet365, which offers a wide variety of prop markets, but also has accounts at several others so he can shop around for the best prices. For Rohit, bankroll management is key. He believes you should never bet what you can't afford to lose and maximize those few betting opportunities where books misprice a line.

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