After dropping four of their last five games, the Golden State Warriors travel to Little Caesars Arena in search of a much-needed win on the first leg of a back-to-back set.
The Pistons will be without Cade Cunningham, and my Warriors vs. Pistons predictions expect the home team to come at this game with an “all hands on deck” approach to make up for his absence.
Here are my best free NBA picks for this non-conference tilt on Friday, March 20.
Warriors vs Pistons prediction
Warriors vs Pistons best bet: Duncan Robinson Over 2.5 threes (-105)
The Golden State Warriors’ three-point defense has been vulnerable as of late, and Detroit Pistons sharpshooter Duncan Robinson is in line to bury 3+ triples - something he’s done in 40 of 67 games this season.
Across the last 10 games, Golden State has surrendered the 12th-most three-pointers (13.3) and the eighth-highest three-point percentage (36.5).
Robinson ranks fourth in threes made at home (3.4), converting his treys at a 44.4% clip. He’s recorded 3+ triples in 24 of 33 games at Little Caesars Arena and has hit 3+ triples in all eight games played without Cade Cunningham this season.
Warriors vs Pistons same-game parlay
Daniss Jenkins started Thursday in place of Cunningham, leading the team in minutes (34) while posting a 9/2/5 line. He’s averaged 24.8 PRA across eight games played without Cunningham, hitting the Over on this line five times.
Jalen Duren has dominated with 24.7 points and 13.7 rebounds across his last six home games. Over their last 10 games, the Warriors have allowed the second-most rebounds (47.8) and fourth-most second-chance points (17.2). He finished with 21 and 13 in his first meeting with the Dubs.
Warriors vs Pistons SGP
- Duncan Robinson Over 2.5 threes
- Daniss Jenkins Over 22.5 points + rebounds + assists
- Jalen Duren Over 36.5 points + rebounds
Our "from downtown" SGP: It's Raining Triples!
Ausar Thompson is averaging 18.8 PRA this season, and he finished with 22 in his last game out.
Caris LeVert has logged 20+ minutes and 3+ triples in three straight games, hitting 8-of-13 shots from beyond the arc.
Kevin Huerter’s three-point attempts and efficiency are significantly down this season, but he’s hit a pair of triples in each of his last two home games.
Warriors vs Pistons SGP
- Ausar Thompson Over 20.5 points + rebounds + assists
- Caris LeVert Over 1.5 threes
- Kevin Huerter Over 1.5 threes
Warriors vs Pistons odds
- Spread: Warriors +5 (-110) | Pistons -5 (-110)
- Moneyline: Warriors +180 | Pistons -220
- Over/Under: Over 217.5 (-110) | Under 217.5 (-110)
Warriors vs Pistons betting trend to know
The Golden State Warriors have hit the game total Over in 28 of their last 45 games (+9.30 Units / 19% ROI). Find more NBA betting trends for Warriors vs. Pistons.
How to watch Warriors vs Pistons
| Location | Little Caesars Arena, Detroit, MI |
| Date | Friday, March 20, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 7:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | NBCSBA, FDSN-DT |
Warriors vs Pistons latest injuries
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