The New Orleans Pelicans will try to get a win for their interim head coach as they host the surging Golden State Warriors on Sunday.
Both teams have been relatively inefficient offensively this season, and I’m taking the Under in my Warriors vs. Pelicans preview.
Read on for a complete breakdown of this Western Conference matchup in my free NBA picks for Sunday, November 16.
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Warriors vs Pelicans prediction
Warriors vs Pelicans best bet: Under 228 (-110)
The New Orleans Pelicans are off to a rough start this season, going 2-10 out of the gate before firing head coach Willie Green. New Orleans is hoping that interim head coach James Borrego will be able to spark a turnaround following the team’s current four-game losing streak.
They’ll have a tough time against a Golden State Warriors team that has won three of the last four, including two straight on the road against the San Antonio Spurs. In the three wins — not counting a loss to the Oklahoma City Thunder, a tall task for any defense — Golden State has given up an average of just 103.7 ppg.
That will make life difficult for a Pelicans team that hasn’t been great at putting the ball in the hoop this season. New Orleans is averaging only 108.4 ppg and shooting 43.7% from the field, both among the worst numbers in the NBA. But it’s not as though the Warriors are an offensive juggernaut anymore, either. Golden State ranks 22nd in offensive efficiency and is putting up 115.1 ppg.
Neither team is designed for shootouts, and both play at a slower pace than the rest of the league. That’s a recipe for a low-scoring game, which is why I’m backing the Under.
Warriors vs Pelicans same-game parlay
The Pelicans have a long way to go before regaining respectability, so I like the Warriors to cover even with a double-digit spread today. I’ll take Stephen Curry to hit his points total as well, as he’s gone for 46 and 49 in his last two games and will continue to be the go-to option for Golden State.
Warriors vs Pelicans SGP
- Under 228
- Warriors -10.5
- Curry Over 27.5 points
Our "from downtown" SGP: Let Steph cook
Zion Williamson may be working his way back into the lineup today, but he won’t need to do much to hit his PRA total, as he’s gone Over this combined number in four of his first five games this season.
Warriors vs Pelicans SGP
- Under 228
- Warriors -10.5
- Curry Over 27.5 points
- Williamson Over 29.5 P/R/A
Warriors vs Pelicans odds
- Spread: Warriors -10.5 | Pelicans +10.5
- Moneyline: Warriors -500 | Pelicans +375
- Over/Under: Over 228.5 | Under 228.5
Warriors vs Pelicans betting trend to know
The Under is 3-0 in the last three meetings between the Warriors and Pelicans. Find more NBA betting trends for Warriors vs. Pelicans.
How to watch Warriors vs Pelicans
| Location | Smoothie King Center, New Orleans, LA |
| Date | Sunday, November 16, 2025 |
| Tip-off | 7:00 p.m. ET |
| TV | NBCS Bay Arena, Pelicans+ |
Warriors vs Pelicans latest injuries
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