Suns vs Lakers Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NBA Game

Jason Logan: Senior Betting Analyst at Covers
Jason Logan • Senior Betting Analyst 21+ years betting experience
Updated: Apr 10, 2026 , 12:33 PM ET • 4 min read

There's no rest for LeBron James as he carries the Lakers toward the postseason. While LeBron is doing everything for L.A., Jason Logan sees a perfect spot to fade James' inflated assist prop with backcourt help on the way.

NBA

Match starts: 7 hrs
PHO
48 %
LAL
52 %
EXPERT PICK - PROP
LeBron James u9.5  Total Assists (-120) LeBron James u9.5 Total Assists (-120)
Read Analysis
Los Angeles Lakers forward LeBron James NBA
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Los Angeles Lakers forward LeBron James NBA

LeBron James was asked what the Los Angeles Lakers need from him in these final games of the regular season.

His answer was simple: Everything.

With Luka Doncic and Austin Reaves injured, James is battling to keep L.A. as the No. 4 seed in the Western Conference. And he’s done just that – everything – for the Lakers, totaling 56 points, 26 assists, and 17 rebounds the past two games.

Our Suns vs. Lakers predictions see LeBron’s stat line taking a step back Friday, at least in one category.

My NBA picks are playing it cool with LeBron’s assist total tonight.

Suns vs Lakers prediction

Suns vs Lakers best bet: LeBron James Under 9.5 Assists (-120)

With Luka Doncic down, LeBron James has taken over as the Los Angeles Lakers’ primary ball handler, and that’s pumped up his passing potential, recording 11 and 15 dimes the past two games. 

However, while LeBron has been doing it all for L.A., he could get some help in the backcourt.

Veteran guard Marcus Smart is trending toward a return tonight. Smart hasn’t played since March 21 due to an ankle injury, but coach J.J. Redick is “hopeful” to have him back versus the Phoenix Suns.

Smart gives L.A. much-needed backcourt depth and allows James to play his natural position off the ball, making him more of a shooter than a facilitator. Before Luka got hurt, James was averaging around seven assists during the Lakers’ red-hot run through March.

There are a few other factors that could temper his passing prowess versus Phoenix. 

James did hurt his hand attempting a block last night, yet stayed in the game. He’s now taking the court for the second of back-to-back outings after logging 32 hard minutes Thursday.

And then there’s always Dillon Brooks

The Suns’ pest will only have eyes for James tonight. Brooks is a premier defender, and while LeBron has had mixed scoring results against him, he’s posted three, four, and six assists in their three head-to-head meeting this season.

Player projections are also cooling on James’ playmaking versus the Suns. His assist forecasts top out at 8.1, with most sitting shy of eight dimes against an inflated assist O/U.

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Suns vs Lakers same-game parlay

Los Angeles is pushing for the No. 4 seed and can’t afford a loss. Phoenix has nothing at stake, parked at No. 7, and is playing without its starting backcourt, including Devin Booker.

James sees his 3-point activity spike whenever Austin Reaves is out. He’s attempted 11 triples the past two games, including making three shots from distance in the win over Golden State last night.

Suns vs Lakers SGP

  • Lakers moneyline
  • LeBron James Under 9.5 assists
  • LeBron James Over 1.5 made threes

Our "from downtown" SGP: Hollywood Knight

If Smart returns, LeBron can play an off-ball scoring role and set up his shots. He’s been big on the boards, with eight and nine rebounds the last two games. The Suns run a lot of small ball, so James can body his way on the glass. Projections sit at 7+ rebounds.

Suns vs Lakers SGP

  • Lakers moneyline
  • LeBron James Under 9.5 assists
  • LeBron James Over 1.5 made threes
  • LeBron James Over 6.5 rebounds

Suns vs Lakers odds

  • Spread: Suns -2.5 | Lakers +2.5
  • Moneyline: Suns -120 | Lakers +140
  • Over/Under: Over 218 | Under 218

Suns vs Lakers betting trend to know

The Lakers are 17-10 SU and ATS in the second game of back-to-back games over the past two seasons, including an 8-5 ATS record in those turnarounds this year. Find more NBA betting trends for Suns vs. Lakers.

How to watch Suns vs Lakers

Location Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, CA
Date Friday, April 10, 2026
Tip-off 10:30 p.m. ET
TV AZFS, Spectrum SportsNet

Suns vs Lakers latest injuries

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Jason Logan Senior Industry Analyst Covers.com
Senior Betting Analyst

In his 20 years with Covers, lead NFL betting analyst Jason Logan has seen it all and bet it all. Through the wild west of early Internet gambling to lobbying for legalized sports betting to our brave new wagering world, Jason has been a consistent source of actionable info and entertainment for squares and sharps alike.

Since joining the Covers team back in 2005, he honed his handicapping skills to provide audiences with the most thorough insights, blending traditional capping methods with advanced modelling and predictive analysis. Jason has studied the ins and outs of the sports betting business, learning from some of the most successful gamblers in the industry and the biggest sportsbook operators on the planet.

He is under center for Covers during NFL season as our top NFL expert, taking the points in his infamous NFL Underdogs column and representing the Covers Community at the Super Bowl. While he lives for football season, Jason's first love is basketball and that shows in his in-depth NBA, NCAA, and WNBA betting breakdowns.

On top of being a mainstay in media from coast to coast at stations like WPIX, PHL17, Fox 5 San Diego, WGNO, TSN, SportsNet, ESPN Radio, Jason's analysis has also been featured in USA Today, MSNBC, ESPN, the Wall Street Journal, CBS, Bloomberg, the L.A. Times, the New York Times and other major publications. You can also find JLo stuffing all the top picks and predictions he can into 10 minutes as the host of Covers' flagship podcast, The Sharp 600.

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