Spurs vs Pelicans Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NBA Game

The Pelicans are, once again, quite bad, but they will hang within double-digit points against the walking wounded Spurs tonight.

Eric Rosales - Contributor at Covers.com
Eric Rosales • Betting Analyst
Dec 8, 2025 • 07:40 ET • 4 min read

NBA

Match starts: 11 hrs
NO
55 %
SA
45 %
EXPERT PICK - SPREAD
New Orleans +10.5 (-110) New Orleans +10.5 (-110)
Read Analysis
Trey Murphy III New Orleans Pelicans NBA
Photo By - Imagn Images. Pelicans F Trey Murphy III (25) dribbles downcourt.

After taking a beating in Cleveland last time out, the San Antonio Spurs hope to get right when they visit the Big Easy and the New Orleans Pelicans tonight.

New Orleans is last in the West and tied with the Wizards for the fewest wins in the league with three, a big reason why they’re 9.5-point underdogs on Monday, December 8.

However, my Spurs vs Pelicans predictions and NBA picks think San Antonio’s injuries make this a lot closer than the spread suggests.

Spurs vs Pelicans prediction

Spurs vs Pelicans best bet: Pelicans +10.5 (-110)

There’s no way to sugarcoat it: the New Orleans Pelicans are a bad basketball team, and they’re probably already into garbage time on their sad-sack season

The Pelicans are allowing 123.2 points per game, which ranks 28th in the NBA. Teams are shooting 49.8% against them, the second-worst mark in the league.

They’re also not healthy: Jordan Poole (quadriceps) and Herb Jones (calf) have already been ruled, joining Zion Williamson (adductor) on the sidelines.

The San Antonio Spurs are a Top-7 team in scoring, averaging 118.9 points per game, and sit 10th in scoring defense, allowing 114.5 points per game.
 
But they’re also missing star Victor Wembanyama (calf), who is expected to sit out despite making it through a full practice on Sunday, and return against LA in their NBA Cup game.

Stephon Castle (hip) also took part in practice, but he’s still considered questionable. He’s in the same boat as backup big Luke Kornet (ankle), while reserve guard Jordan McLaughlin (hamstring) will sit.

San Antonio has won both meetings this season, but the Pelicans have kept each decision under 10 points in both. In fact, the margin of victory in seven of the last eight meetings has been six points or less.

Even during this current skid, the Pels are a solid 4-2-0 against the spread.

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Spurs vs Pelicans same-game parlay

We’ll target each team’s hottest scorer to build an SGP.

De’Aaron Fox has been grooving lately, scoring at least 25 points in four straight on a crisp 52.1% shooting. He went for 24 in his only appearance against the Pels this year.

Trey Murphy III has led his team in scoring in three straight, averaging 25.7 points. He’s topped his 21.5 scoring line twice in those games, missing the third by a single point.

Spurs vs Pelicans SGP

  • Pelicans +10.5
  • De'Aaron Fox Over 23.5 points
  • Trey Murphy III Over 21.5 points

Our "from downtown" SGP: Spread the love around

Devin Vassell has been lighting it up from distance, making at least three moneyballs in six of his last eight games. Vassell has hit the Over in both meetings against NOLA, going 10-for-22 (45.5%) from 3-point range.

Keldon Johnson has been providing healthy secondary scoring for the Spurs, and that 11.5-point scoring looks very enticing. He’s scored at least 12 points in eight of his last 10 games.

Spurs vs Pelicans SGP

  • Pelicans +10.5
  • De'Aaron Fox Over 23.5 points
  • Trey Murphy III Over 21.5 points
  • Devin Vassell Over 2.5 threes
  • Keldon Johnson Over 11.5 points

Spurs vs Pelicans odds

  • Spread: Spurs -10.5 (-110) | Pelicans +10.5 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Spurs -450 | Pelicans +350
  • Over/Under: Over 236.5 (-110) | Under 236.5 (-110)

Spurs vs Pelicans betting trend to know

New Orleans has lost 16 straight games vs Western Conference opponents with a winning record. Find more NBA betting trends for Spurs vs. Pelicans.

How to watch Spurs vs Pelicans

Location Smoothie King Center, New Orleans, LA
Date Monday, December 8, 2025
Tip-off 8:00 p.m. ET
TV FDSN-SW

Spurs vs Pelicans latest injuries

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Eric Rosales - Covers
Betting Analyst

Eric has been involved in sports media in many different capacities since graduating from journalism school in 1999, back when getting your own column in a newspaper was still considered a thing. He doubled down and graduated from broadcast journalism school five years later, which led to a move to Toronto and a career with The Sports Network (TSN). From behind-the-scenes production work, he moved into the digital realm, where he had his own hoops column (At the Buzzer), while regularly live streaming and chatting with fans during broadcasts as the character known as LeBlog James. He was also a key contributor to TSN and CTV’s Olympic programming during the 2012 London Games.

Eric eventually found his way into the sports betting field in 2016 and has been a mainstay ever since. He was tagged on Twitter as a Top 10 NBA sharp during the 2021 season and has been interviewed about basketball and his handicapping process on shows from Vancouver to India. Eric is now a jack-of-all-sports at Covers, where his predictions span the alphabet soup: NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, F1, WNBA, Euro, and Copa.

When making picks, he focuses on finding value first and foremost, and ensuring readers have all the information they need to make an informed choice.

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