Victor Wembanyama may be in only his third year in the NBA, but it is hard to imagine the San Antonio Spurs’ superstar letting the Western Conference Finals end short of seven games.
Of course, the Oklahoma City Thunder hope to end this series tonight, but these Thunder vs. Spurs props and NBA picks put too much trust in San Antonio’s role players on Thursday, May 28.
For more analysis, read our complete Thunder vs. Spurs predictions.
Best Thunder vs Spurs props for Game 6
| Player | Pick |  |
|---|---|---|
 Shai Gilgeous-Alexander |
Over 7.5 assists | -145 |
 Dylan Harper |
Over 3.5 rebounds | -115 |
| Julian Champagnie |
Over 2.5 threes | +110 |
Game 6 Prop #1: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 7.5 assists
These Game 5 props included this same bet priced at -130. The Oklahoma City Thunder star then proceeded to dish out nine assists. Thus, this price moving to -145 makes some sense, but it is not enough of a move to scare off the thought.
Frankly, oddsmakers need to move this number to 8.5 in this series, and until they do, it will continue to be a quick bet.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has little choice but to move the ball. Down two backcourt mates — Jalen Williams is again listed as questionable, but consider yours truly skeptical of his availability — SGA has the ball in his hands more, but also has more defensive attention.
Look at his field-goal attempts. The two-time MVP took 23 and 24 shots in the first two games, respectively. He has since averaged 17 shots per game, despite handling the ball more often.
It is no coincidence SGA has now cleared this prop in four of five games, falling short by only the hook in Game 4 and averaging 9.8 assists per game.
Oklahoma City needs the ball in his hands, while the San Antonio Spurs are able to devote the defensive pressure to force it out of his hands.
Game 6 Prop #2: Dylan Harper Over 3.5 rebounds
Since Dylan Harper tweaked his hamstring in Game 2, his scoring has plummeted. Perhaps that is by coincidence, but going just 5-for-16 from the field in the three games since and averaging six points per game is rather notable for someone who was previously shooting 53.5% this postseason and averaging 14.4 points per game.
There is some inclination to take the Under on Harper’s points prop, set at 9.5 (-115 at bet365). But he is still logging minutes, 25 in Game 5, and perhaps he finds a rhythm now eight days removed from that initial injury.
Despite the clear knock on his explosiveness, Harper has still found rebounds. He snagged five in Game 4 and six in Game 5. Credit the rookie for finding ways to impact the game despite losing some of his offensive effectiveness.
That emphasis should continue. San Antonio needs to play Harper, and he needs to keep making those minutes matter in some way.
Game 6 Prop #3: Julian Champagnie Over 2.5 3-pointers
This is somewhat out of the usual want to include at least one plus-money prop. (Many days in the WNBA feature three plus-money props, and those are the halcyon days of spring and summer.)
But it is also recognizing just how many 3-pointers Julian Champagnie has taken in this series. Sure, he went 0-for-5 in Game 4, but the number to notice there is the five. It marked actual reluctance from the gunner.
Otherwise, Champagnie has taken at least seven 3-pointers in each game of this series. He has shot 37.6% from deep in the postseason after hitting 38.1% in the regular season.
When taking seven 3-pointers, it is more likely than not Champagnie will hit at least three of them. This should not be set at plus money.
Cash your ML bets quicker with bet365's early win payout!
Take advantage of the early win payout at bet365, where any pre-game NBA moneyline bet gets paid out as a winner if your team goes up by 20+ points!
Learn more about this feature, and all of bet365's offerings, with our comprehensive bet365 review!
21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
