Two more NBA Playoff series could end tonight, and our NBA picks and same-game parlay plays will tell you if the Warriors and Timberwolves will close things out or if the Rockets and Lakers will fight back at home.
Read on for our best SGP picks for Wednesday, April 30, featuring Alperen Sengun and Jaden McDaniels player props.
Tonight's NBA same-game parlay picks
Our betting experts have scoured through today's NBA odds to find your best SGP bets for Wednesday's NBA lineup:
Warriors vs Rockets same-game parlay
Alperen Sengun Over 35.5 points+rebounds+assists
Jimmy Butler Over 30.5 points+rebounds+assists
Warriors +4
Jimmy Butler played his usual minutes in Game 4 after returning from injury. In Games 1 and 4, he logged at least 40 minutes in both and posted exactly 38 PRA in each.
Butler averaged 41.6 PRA in four games leading up to the first-round series with Houston, and I expect him to stay hot in Game 5 with just one game between the Warriors and a trip to the Western Conference semifinals.
I’m not fond of the moneyline pick in this game as outlined above, but I’m confident that the Warriors — win or lose — will keep this within four points. Golden State has the two best players in this series and significantly more playoff experience, giving the Warriors a clear advantage in an otherwise competitive series that has been tight throughout.
A win in Game 5 will clinch the series and give the Warriors some much-needed time off before the semifinals, so expect them to come out swinging.
Read Zak Hanshew's full Warriors vs. Rockets predictions.
Timberwolves vs Lakers same-game parlay
Over 209.5
Luka Doncic Over 31.5 points
Jaden McDaniels Over 5.5 rebounds
The Lakers made a decision when they backed out of their trade for Hornets’ center Mark Williams. They decided to diminish some of Luka’s best skills for a season, presumably to land a better center or put together a better deal this summer. That may pan out in the long run, but it is costing LA in this series.
Doncic’s forays into the lane no longer put defenders into the peril that makes Luka so lethal. With no reliable rim runner, those defenders are not in as much space. They simply focus on Doncic.
He is not finding assists in the lane. Instead, he is shooting floaters and pull-ups. Compared to facing the Timberwolves last postseason, Doncic is taking 3-pointers on a smaller share of his shots. It is not that he is taking significantly fewer threes — 10.6 per game in that series a year ago vs. 9.5 thus far in this series. It is that he is passing less often once inside.
Doncic passing less often means Doncic scoring more often, averaging 35.3 points in this series when not actively battling illness.
The other cost of not having a reliable rim runner is that the Lakers give up rebounds. In fact, Doncic has been their best rebounder in this series.
Meanwhile, Jaden McDaniels is bigger than anyone on LA’s roster aside from Jaxson Hayes. There is a reason McDaniels has averaged 7.25 rebounds in this series, highlighted by nine in Game 1 and 11 in Game 4.
Read Douglas Farmer's full Timberwolves vs. Lakers predictions.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
