Best NBA Player Props Today for March 14: Joker Laughs Last

Tom Oldfield - Contributor at Covers.com
Tom Oldfield • Betting Analyst 22+ years betting experience
Updated: Mar 14, 2026 , 12:05 PM ET • 4 min read

Nikola Jokic is about to do whatever he wants against this Lakers' defense.

Denver Nuggets center Nikola Jokic (15) in the second half at Ball Arena.
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Denver Nuggets center Nikola Jokic (15) in the second half at Ball Arena.

As you would expect at this stage of the season, there are some lopsided spreads on today’s hoops schedule. However, we also get three monster matchups with big-time seeding stakes.

My NBA picks target those battles, with the San Antonio Spurs facing the frisky Charlotte Hornets, a Nikola Jokic-Luka Doncic duel, and an all-Florida showdown in the tight East playoff race.

Here are my favorite NBA player props for the March 14 slate.

Best NBA player props today

Player Pick bet365
Hornets Stephon Castle Over 23.5 points + assists -105
Hornets Nikola Jokic Over 10.5 assists -120
Hornets Desmond Bane Over 4.5 assists -120

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Prop #1: Stephon Castle Over 23.5 points + assists

-105 at bet365

Stephon Castle notched his third career triple-double in Thursday’s loss to the Denver Nuggets, and he’s a prime candidate for another do-it-all effort today against the Hornets.

He’s gone past this combo prop number in three straight outings, and he’s shooting 43% from downtown this month.

With the San Antonio Spurs still chasing the No.1 seed in the West, there’s no margin for error, and Castle could see even more touches this afternoon if Victor Wembanyama and Dylan Harper — both questionable — sit out.

Plus, Castle had 16 points and nine dimes in Charlotte in late January.

  • Time: 3:30 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: Prime

Prop #2: Nikola Jokic Over 10.5 assists

-120 at bet365

The Denver Nuggets are still searching for their best form in the lead-up to the playoffs, but Nikola Jokic has dished 12+ dimes in four of his past five outings, including a win over L.A. earlier this month.

The Nuggets lead the NBA with 120.6 points per game, and Joker’s passing is also the spark for their league-best 39% mark from beyond the arc.

While the Lakers are on a four-game win streak, they just don’t have the frontcourt options to contain Jokic here. If JJ Redick’s men lean on double teams, the three-time MVP will be surgical in making the right reads.

  • Time: 8:30 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: ABC

Prop #3: Desmond Bane Over 4.5 assists

-120 at bet365

Give the Orlando Magic credit. Despite a bumpy year, they’re up to fifth in the Eastern Conference after six straight victories. I’m jumping on this Over for Desmond Bane, who’s racked up 21 assists across his past three games.

Bane’s strong play is a big reason for Orlando’s rise, and he’ll be a key figure tonight against a Miami Heat team that’s matching the Magic’s scorching form. He’s averaging 5.6 assists so far in March, and he’s had five dimes in his last two outings against the Heat. 

There’s a clear path to a big playmaking impact here for Bane, with Franz Wagner still out and Anthony Black joining him on the sidelines.

  • Time: 8:00 p.m. ET
  • Where to watch: FDSN Florida, FDSN Sun

These props are available now at bet365, one of our best betting sites.

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Tom Oldfield - Covers
Betting Analyst

Tom Oldfield’s sports writing journey over the past 20 years has taken him from the Premier League and Champions League to the NFL, NBA, WNBA and MLB, with a wide range of articles and betting previews. Tom has worked closely with London’s Sportsbeat sports news agency as well as (thrillingly!) covering the Toronto Raptors’ 2019 NBA championship run, and he has appeared on BBC World Service and The Back Page podcast.

A graduate of the University of Nottingham in the UK, he is the author of biographies on Cristiano Ronaldo, Rafael Nadal, Gary Neville and Cesc Fabregas, and he co-authors a long-running series of children’s soccer books with his brother, Matt.

As a regular bettor across the top sports leagues, particularly with FanDuel and bet365, he is well versed on all the major markets and the next big game is rarely far from his thoughts. The best betting advice he has received is to monitor multiple sportsbooks to grab the best possible value.

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