Today’s NBA Player Prop Picks: Poole Does Damage with Long Ball

We have another exciting slate of games in the NBA tonight, and that means plenty of player props to back. For tonight's picks, we're rolling with Carter Jr. to record a double-double, Poole to work the long ball, and LBJ to bring out the dimes.

Last Updated: Jan 25, 2023 1:34 PM ET Read Time: 4 min
Jordan Poole Golden State Warriors NBA
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It’s a jam-packed night of NBA action with 10 games on the board for basketball bettors to dive into and that means there’s plenty of value to be found in the NBA player props market.

Wendell Carter Jr. looks like his old self and should be a force against the Pacers. Jordan Poole has found his shooting rhythm and will let it fly in a matchup vs. the Grizzlies, and LeBron James is finally getting some reinforcements when the Lakers take on the Spurs.

Here are my best NBA player prop picks for Wednesday, January 25.

NBA player props for January 25

Picks made on 1/25/2023 at 12:45 p.m. ET.
Click on each pick to jump to the full analysis.

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Today’s best NBA player props

The odds widgets below represent the best odds currently available for each betting market at regulated sportsbooks.

The Carter effect

The Orlando Magic aren’t a playoff team this season but it certainly appears they have some great pieces of their core to build around. Paolo Banchero, Franz Wagner, and now that Wendell Carter Jr. is healthy again, he’s in the mix as well.

Carter missed 17 games this season due to a foot injury and after easing back into action he once again looks like the guy who averaged 15 points and 10.5 boards for the Magic last season. Over the last 10 games, Carter is averaging 14 points and 9.2 rebounds per game and has recorded five double-doubles over that span.

Frankly, Carter has been a double-double machine in limited action this season, putting up 11 in 28 games played, and tonight’s matchup against the Indiana Pacers is a prime spot for him to record No. 12.

The Pacers rank 20th in defensive rating and 18th in opponent points in the paint, so there should be plenty of room for Carter to work down low. Indiana is also one of the worst rebounding teams in the NBA ranking 24th in rebounding rate, and 27th in opponent rebounds per game.

At nice plus money, bet on Carter to record his 12th double-double of the season and the sixth in his last 11 games.

Wendell Carter Jr. Prop: To record a double-double (+140)

Hot hand catches fire

The Golden State Warriors are still trying to find that consistency that helped them win the NBA Finals last season. The Warriors are just 23-24 and sit in the 10th spot in the Western Conference heading into tonight’s matchup with the Memphis Grizzlies.

One move head coach Steve Kerr has made is to reinsert Jordan Poole back into the starting lineup after a brief stint where the shooting guard was coming off the bench.

Poole is averaging 21.2 points per game but hasn’t had the same hot hand he did a season ago when shooting from deep, hitting just 32.1% of his attempts from 3-point range. Poole has started to find his shooting rhythm since being re-inserted into the starting lineup four games ago.

He is now draining 41.5% of his big 10.3 threes per game over that stretch, and while the Grizzlies are one of the top defensive teams in the NBA, their biggest weakness is on the perimeter. Memphis ranks 11th in opponent 3-point shooting percentage but allows the fifth-most 3-point attempts to opposing teams per game.

Poole has sunk three or more long balls three times in the last four games and he should get plenty of looks to keep that up against this Grizz defense. 

Jordan Poole Prop: Over 2.5 made 3-pointers (-120)

King behaviour 

LeBron James and the Los Angeles Lakers are getting some much-needed reinforcements heading into tonight’s game against the San Antonio Spurs. Anthony Davis is expected to return after missing more than a month of action while Rui Hachimura will make his Lakers debut after being acquired from the Washington Wizards on Monday.

And to me, that means LeBron is going to go into Mr. Distributor mode and do everything he can to get his teammates in rhythm and involved in the offense right away. 

James is averaging 6.9 assists per game this season but that has bumped up to 7.9 per game over his last nine. Now, he goes against a Spurs team that allows the second-most assists per game in the NBA.

He’s dished out nine or more assists six times in that nine-game stretch and has had at least seven in eight of those nine. Plus, LeBron is probably happy someone else can help shoulder the load when it comes to scoring a night after he put up 46 points in a blowout loss to the Clippers. I’m backing his Over 7.5 assists at plus money.

LeBron James Prop: Over 7.5 assists (+115)

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