Best NBA Player Props Today for 11-29: Randle the Wrecking Ball

Julius Randle has put up some impressive stats of late, though they haven't translated to wins for the Timberwolves. Our NBA betting picks expect Randle to keep cooking vs. an undersized Clippers squad.

Tom Oldfield - Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Tom Oldfield • Betting Analyst
Nov 29, 2024 • 10:16 ET • 4 min read
Julius Randle Minnesota Timberwolves NBA
Photo By - Imagn Images. Pictured: Julius Randle.

After a break for Thanksgiving, basketball is back in a big way — and the NBA Cup heats up with 10 games scattered throughout the day.

The New York Knicks tip things off, the Boston Celtics chase a seventh straight win, and there’s a must-see nightcap as the Oklahoma City Thunder visit the Los Angeles Lakers. In short, it’s an NBA player props bonanza.

I’ve sifted through the different betting markets and my three top NBA picks for the November 29 slate include two of this year’s early MVP candidates.

Best NBA player props today

Picks made on 11-29 at 10:15 a.m. ET.

NBA player props for November 29

Prop bet #1: Julius Randle Over 20.5 points

-115 at bet365

It’s been a challenging first month for the Minnesota Timberwolves, who drag a four-game losing streak into tonight’s clash with the Los Angeles Clippers — and the red flags prompted a typically honest assessment from Anthony Edwards this week.

Minnesota needs to get back on track in a hurry, and I see Julius Randle delivering here as Edwards’ scoring sidekick.

Randle has gone past this 20.5 points O/U line in six straight contests, including a 35-point explosion against the Phoenix Suns earlier this month. He’s put together an efficient week, including 17-for-32 shooting across his last two outings. Don’t expect a barrage of 3-pointers — he’s made just 28% of his triples this month — but he trails only Edwards in minutes per game.

With up-and-down production from Mike Conley, Jaden McDaniels, and Donte DiVincenzo, the Timberwolves need an aggressive version of Randle to get out of this current rut, and the wing-heavy Clippers could have problems with this matchup.

Randle should have the green light to go to work against smaller defenders in the paint, translating to high-percentage shots and trips to the free-throw line on the way to hitting this Over.

Prop bet #2: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 30.5 points

-115 at bet365

With three wins in a row, the Oklahoma City Thunder have regrouped impressively after Chet Holmgren’s injury, and a lot of that comes down to Shai-Gilgeous Alexander’s offensive wizardry.

The Thunder start the day as the No. 1 seed in the West, and SGA is effortlessly shouldering an even bigger scoring burden. He’s gone past the 30-point mark in four of his last five outings, and I’m picking him to add to that tally here.

He took 28 shots in the win over the Golden State Warriors this week, finishing with 35 points, and OKC is benefitting from him being ‘greedier,’ in the best sense of the word.

The Anthony Davis factor will make paint points tougher tonight against the Los Angeles Lakers, but Gilgeous-Alexander is so good at getting to his spots, and he shouldn’t have too many problems shaking the L.A. perimeter defense. He’s also knocked three or more triples in three of his past four games.

There’s always a nice floor for the SGA points prop with his ability to get to the free-throw line, where he’s shooting 86% this season, and he went 14-for-14 from the charity stripe against the Portland Trail Blazers last week.

Prop bet #3: Jayson Tatum Over 8.5 rebounds

-125 at bet365

Jayson Tatum’s scoring is always going to generate the biggest spotlight, but don’t sleep on his work on the glass. The Boston Celtics have needed his length through the first month of the season, and I like the Over on 8.5 rebounds for Tatum tonight.

Kristaps Porzingis returned to the starting line-up in midweek, and that will take away some of the rebounding opportunities, but Boston is going to be careful with Porzingis’ minutes — and Tatum still had nine boards on Wednesday against the Clippers.

He’s had at least nine rebounds in five of his last six games, and he’s set to stuff the stat sheet against the Chicago Bulls here, especially if Nikola Vucevic is glued to Porzingis on the perimeter.

The Bulls trend towards fast-pace, high-scoring contests, and they rank in the Top 10 for field goal attempts per game.

It’s no surprise to see Tatum as the Celtics’ leading rebounder so far this year, and the opportunities for double-digit boards will be there for as long as he’s logging 36 minutes a night.

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Tom Oldfield - Covers
Betting Analyst

Tom Oldfield’s sports writing journey over the past 20 years has taken him from the Premier League and Champions League to the NFL, NBA, WNBA and MLB, with a wide range of articles and betting previews. Tom has worked closely with London’s Sportsbeat sports news agency as well as (thrillingly!) covering the Toronto Raptors’ 2019 NBA championship run, and he has appeared on BBC World Service and The Back Page podcast.

A graduate of the University of Nottingham in the UK, he is the author of biographies on Cristiano Ronaldo, Rafael Nadal, Gary Neville and Cesc Fabregas, and he co-authors a long-running series of children’s soccer books with his brother, Matt.

As a regular bettor across the top sports leagues, particularly with FanDuel and bet365, he is well versed on all the major markets and the next big game is rarely far from his thoughts. The best betting advice he has received is to monitor multiple sportsbooks to grab the best possible value.

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