NBA Parlay Picks: Odds, Predictions & Best Bets for Sunday's NBA Playoff Games

Our NBA parlay predictions are calling for Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and the Thunder to bounce back and knot their series with Nuggets via offensive firepower. Plus, the Cavaliers will once again shine early vs. the Pacers.

Eric Rosales - Contributor at Covers.com
Eric Rosales • Betting Analyst
May 11, 2025 • 10:30 ET • 4 min read
SGA OKC Thunder
Photo By - Imagn Images. OKC Thunder PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander in NBA action.

It’s a must-see Mother’s Day of NBA Playoff action.

It’s OKC vs. Denver and Cleveland vs. Indiana, and both the underdog Nuggets and Pacers have a Game 4 at home that could push their series lead to 3-1 by the end of the day.

Conversely, we could be "Even Steven" in both, and down to a best-of-3 for the right to head to the Conference Finals.

While these teams work on their playoff position, we’re working on nailing a 3-leg parlay, combining markets from both of these crucial Game 4s into one ticket.

Read below for our free NBA picks for May 11.

Today's best NBA Playoff parlay: May 11

Thunder team total Over 113.5

Thunder/Nuggets Over 112.5 1H

Cavaliers -2.5 1H

Pick #1: Thunder team total Over 113.5

The Denver Nuggets are paper thin, had their all-world star in Nikola Jokic turn in one of his worst playoff performances ever, and are relying on Aaron Gordon, who has somehow morphed into some Shawn Marion-Ray Allen-Robert Horry hybrid.

Is it sustainable? Against other teams, maybe. But this house of cards will soon collapse vs. the sheer force of the Oklahoma City Thunder.

Credit the Nuggets, though, for draining every ounce of blood from the stone to pick up a wild 113-104 OT win to go up 2-1. 

But this game was OKC’s for the taking, and likely MVP Shai Gilgeous-Alexander couldn’t seal the deal, going 1-for-8 from the floor in the fourth quarter, missing shot after shot that would have helped his team land the plane.

I don’t see SGA struggling like that again, and his improved play alone will bring the Thunder to Over 113.5 points, which has already happened twice in three games this series.

Pick #2: Thunder/Nuggets Over 112.5 1H

OKC does not want to mess around and get down 3-1, so a dynamite first half is in store, and Denver will have to keep up – hopefully with Nikola Jokic able to improve on his 8-for-25 effort in Game 3, including an ugly 0-for-10 from distance.

Pick #3: Cavaliers -2.5 1H

We’re sticking with that theme of powerhouse teams flexing.

The Cleveland Cavaliers came out like gangbusters in Game 3’s 126-104 rout, getting themselves back in this series, now down just 2-1.

While Darius Garland still looks hobbled with that toe injury, he along with newly-minted DPOY Evan Mobley and 3&D cog De’Andre Hunter all returned to the lineup, and it made Donovan Mitchell's life a lot easier, as he dropped another 40-bomb.

The Pacers are now on their heels, though a win Sunday would give them three shots to end this series.

I just don’t see the Cavaliers crumbling in Game 4. Assuming they stay in relatively good health, this is a team that won’t be messing around, and should jump out to their third straight halftime lead.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

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Eric Rosales - Covers
Betting Analyst

Eric has been involved in sports media in many different capacities since graduating from journalism school in 1999, back when getting your own column in a newspaper was still considered a thing. He doubled down and graduated from broadcast journalism school five years later, which led to a move to Toronto and a career with The Sports Network (TSN). From behind-the-scenes production work, he moved into the digital realm, where he had his own hoops column (At the Buzzer), while regularly live streaming and chatting with fans during broadcasts as the character known as LeBlog James. He was also a key contributor to TSN and CTV’s Olympic programming during the 2012 London Games.

Eric eventually found his way into the sports betting field in 2016 and has been a mainstay ever since. He was tagged on Twitter as a Top 10 NBA sharp during the 2021 season and has been interviewed about basketball and his handicapping process on shows from Vancouver to India. Eric is now a jack-of-all-sports at Covers, where his predictions span the alphabet soup: NFL, NBA, MLB, NHL, F1, WNBA, Euro, and Copa.

When making picks, he focuses on finding value first and foremost, and ensuring readers have all the information they need to make an informed choice.

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