Pacers vs Warriors Picks and Predictions: Splash Bros Wash Indiana Away

The Golden State Warriors are fresh off of a 16-point win over the Detroit Pistons and they now host another disappointing Eastern Conference team.

The Warriors will take on the Indiana Pacers at the Chase Center tonight, and Steph Curry & Co. must be licking their chops as double-digit NBA betting favorites. 

Will Golden State blow Indiana out tonight? Continue reading our Pacers vs. Warriors NBA picks and predictions for Thursday, January 20.

Pacers vs Warriors odds

Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.

After opening as 12-point favorites in this game, the Warriors are now laying 11.5 across all major sportsbooks. That’s despite a majority of the early bets coming in on Golden State. The total opened at 215 in this one and it has since gone up to 218 in some places.

Use the live odds widget above to track any future line movements right until tip-off and be sure to check out the full NBA odds before betting to ensure you get the best number.

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Pacers vs Warriors predictions

• Prediction: Warriors -11.5 (-110)
• Prediction: Under 218.0 (-113)
• Best bet: Klay Thompson Over 15.5 points (-120)

Predictions made on 01/20/2022 at 11:15 a.m. ET.
Click on each prediction to jump to the full analysis.

Pacers vs Warriors game info

• Location: Chase Center, San Francisco, CA
• Date: Thursday, January 20, 2022
• Tip-off: 10:00 p.m. ET
• TV: TNT

Pacers vs Warriors betting preview

Injuries

Pacers: Myles Turner C (Out), Malcolm Brogdon G (Questionable), Jeremy Lamb G (Questionable), T.J. McConnell G (Out), T.J. Warren F (Out).
Warriors: Andre Iguodala F (Questionable), Draymond Green F (Out), James Wiseman C (Out).
Find our latest NBA injury reports.

Betting trend to know

The Warriors are 19-6-1 against the spread in their last 26 games as home favorites. Find more NBA betting trends for Pacers vs. Warriors.

Pacers vs Warriors picks and predictions

Our predictions are compiled from the analysis of the spread and total and are indications of where we are leaning for this game.
Our best bet is the play that we like the most for this game, which we would actually put some of our bankroll behind.

Spread analysis

The Warriors were huge favorites against the Pistons the other night and they still found a way to cover with ease. This meeting with the Pacers shouldn’t be all that different, especially with Indiana coming off a win over the Los Angeles Lakers last night. Playing the second night of a road back-to-back is never easy, but it’s even worse when you’re going against Curry and the Warriors. 

Even with Draymond Green out, this Golden State team is extremely explosive on offense, and a few of those classic Warriors flurries from 3-point range would put the Pacers away in this game. Indiana just isn’t good enough on either end of the floor to withstand those types of quick runs, and it doesn’t help that the Pacers are banged up right now. Myles Turner is a player that they’ll really miss in this game, as his rim protection could have at least prevented Golden State from getting easy buckets at the basket. 

Another thing working against the Pacers is that the entire team is seemingly on the trading block entering the trade deadline. That is extremely difficult to navigate when it’s just one or two players, but Indiana genuinely seems to be open to dealing pretty much anyone. 

Lastly, it should be noted that the Warriors are 8-1 against the spread in non-conference home games this year. They’re also facing a Pacers team that is 7-19 against the spread when coming off back-to-back road games since the start of last season.

Prediction: Warriors -11.5 (-110)

Over/Under analysis

The Under is 24-9 in games in which Golden State has played as a favorite this season, and it’s 15-6 when the Warriors are playing at home. Meanwhile, the Under is also 11-3 when the Pacers are road underdogs on the year. With both teams having significant trends that suggest that this one will go Under, it’s hard to ignore that noise. 

Golden State might be missing Draymond right now, but the Warriors still have the best defensive rating in basketball. They also are facing a Pacers team that is just 15th in offensive rating, so it’s not the type of opponent to cause them to unravel there. Indiana is also just 23rd in pace of play, meaning the team takes its time to get into its offense. That should make Under bettors very happy here. 

Prediction: Under 218.0 (-113) 

Best bet

Klay Thompson is still working to find his rhythm right now and it’s going to take him a decent amount of time to do so. This, however, is a pretty good game for him to get it going a bit. The Pacers are just 22nd in the league in defensive rating this season, and it’s hard to imagine them finding a way to contain Curry without having to send a little help in his direction. That would mean that the rest of the Warriors will get some good looks. 

Klay really doesn’t need to play all that well in order to reach this point total tonight. As long as he makes a couple of threes, it’ll be well within striking distance. He had 21 points in 22 minutes last game, so we know he’s more than capable of doing this.

Pick: Klay Thompson Over 15.5 points (-120)

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