Magic vs Thunder Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NBA Game

January raised some concerns for the Thunder, but Shai Gilgeous-Alexander & Co. look ready to get back on track against the Magic.

Tom Oldfield - Contributor at Covers.com
Tom Oldfield • Betting Analyst
Feb 3, 2026 • 14:51 ET • 4 min read

NBA

Match starts: 3 hrs
ORL
38 %
OKC
62 %
EXPERT PICK - SPREAD
Oklahoma City -8.0 (-110) Oklahoma City -8.0 (-110)
Read Analysis
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Oklahoma City Thunder NBA
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Oklahoma City Thunder guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (2) in the fourth quarter.

It was a bumpy January for the Oklahoma City Thunder, but that’s in the rearview mirror now, and the defending champs are big favorites to pick up their 40th win of the season tonight as they host the Orlando Magic.

There was a lot to like about OKC’s statement win in Denver over the weekend, and my Magic vs. Thunder predictions expect another full-force effort here against an Orlando team still missing Franz Wagner.

Take a closer look at this February 3 battle with my free NBA picks.

Magic vs Thunder prediction

Magic vs Thunder best bet: Thunder -8 (-110)

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander made his MVP case on Sunday as the Oklahoma City Thunder out-dueled Nikola Jokic’s Nuggets, and I’m riding with a banged-up OKC team as long as SGA can shake off a finger issue to keep running the show.

It could be a solo act at times tonight against the Orlando Magic, but the Thunder have beaten the Magic in four straight meetings and they’re 21-4 SU at home this season. That’s enough for me to lay the points.

The hosts relish the kind of physicality that comes when these two teams collide, and OKC’s perimeter hounds are a nightmare for an Orlando team that ranks 27th in the NBA in 3-point percentage.

While Chet Holmgren’s back spasms are a concern for this pick, we’ve seen the Thunder depth step up time and again this year, and Mark Daigneault has become an expert in piecing together rotations on the fly. It’s also worth noting that each of the hosts’ last six wins have come by a margin of 9+ points.

I can’t trust an erratic Magic squad that’s 2-5 ATS in its past seven contests and 8-15 ATS on the road this season. OKC is allowing just 108 ppg, the best mark in the league, so look for the champs’ defensive intensity to gradually wear down the visitors.

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Magic vs Thunder same-game parlay

Cason Wallace is coming off a career-high 27 points in Denver, and there will be ample scoring opportunities again here with all the Thunder’s injury concerns. He’s nailed this Over in three of his last four games.

If any Magic player is going to crack the OKC defensive code, it’s Desmond Bane, who’s been on a tear lately. He drilled seven three-pointers to sink the Toronto Raptors on Friday, and he’s dropped in 2+ triples in four of his past five outings.

Magic vs Thunder SGP

  • Thunder -8
  • Cason Wallace Over 9.5 points
  • Desmond Bane Over 1.5 three-pointers

Our "from downtown" SGP: Black the playmaker

Anthony Black’s breakout has been one of the few real highlights for Orlando this season, and his playmaking will be key against the swarming Thunder. He’s dished 5+ dimes in four of his last five contests.

Magic vs Thunder SGP

  • Thunder -8
  • Cason Wallace Over 9.5 points
  • Desmond Bane Over 1.5 three-pointers
  • Anthony Black Over 4.5 assists

Magic vs Thunder odds

  • Spread: Orlando +8 (-110) | Oklahoma City -8 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Orlando +240 | Oklahoma City -300
  • Over/Under: Over 220.5 (-110) | Under 220.5 (-110)

Magic vs Thunder betting trend to know

The Thunder are 7-1-1 ATS in the last nine meetings between these teams. Find more NBA betting trends for Magic vs. Thunder.

How to watch Magic vs Thunder

Location Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK
Date Tuesday, February 3, 2026
Tip-off 8:00 p.m. ET
TV FDSN Florida, FDSN Oklahoma

Magic vs Thunder latest injuries

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Tom Oldfield - Covers
Betting Analyst

Tom Oldfield’s sports writing journey over the past 20 years has taken him from the Premier League and Champions League to the NFL, NBA, WNBA and MLB, with a wide range of articles and betting previews. Tom has worked closely with London’s Sportsbeat sports news agency as well as (thrillingly!) covering the Toronto Raptors’ 2019 NBA championship run, and he has appeared on BBC World Service and The Back Page podcast.

A graduate of the University of Nottingham in the UK, he is the author of biographies on Cristiano Ronaldo, Rafael Nadal, Gary Neville and Cesc Fabregas, and he co-authors a long-running series of children’s soccer books with his brother, Matt.

As a regular bettor across the top sports leagues, particularly with FanDuel and bet365, he is well versed on all the major markets and the next big game is rarely far from his thoughts. The best betting advice he has received is to monitor multiple sportsbooks to grab the best possible value.

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