The Connecticut Sun will look to make it a home-and-home sweep as they host the Minnesota Lynx on Wednesday night.
Connecticut and Minnesota combined for 179 points on Monday, and I’m taking the Over again in my Lynx vs. Sun predictions below.
Let’s break down this matchup and take a look at my free WNBA picks for Wednesday, July 8.
Lynx vs Sun prediction
Lynx vs Sun best bet: Over 167.5 (-110)
The Minnesota Lynx were without presumptive Rookie of the Year Olivia Miles (18.5 ppg), but still put up 89 points against the Connecticut Sun on Monday.
I expect more of the same tonight, as Minnesota is second in the WNBA in scoring (90.2 ppg) while Connecticut has a defensive rating of 107.6, fourth-worst in the league.
The Sun offense has come to life, averaging 86.0 ppg over their last eight contests. With both teams in the top half of the league in pace and coming off a game with a total of 179, I’m taking the Over at 169.5 or less.
COVERS INTEL: The Sun score 49.9% of their points in the paint, while the Lynx allow a league-high 47.5% of their opponents’ points inside the three-point line – something Brittney Griner took advantage of to score 29 points on Monday.
Lynx vs Sun same-game parlay
Yes, the Sun were able to win in Minnesota on Monday, and yes, Miles is likely to be out (or at least severely limited) again in tonight’s game.
But the gap between these two teams is too big for me to overreact to one good result for Connecticut. Books have cut the line significantly for Wednesday’s game, and I see the Lynx as the smart play for spread bettors.
One player who continued to find success for Minnesota on Monday was Kayla McBride. She scored 28 points and hit four threes in the game, the fourth straight contest in which she hit at least four shots from deep.
Connecticut lets opponents shoot 35.2% from beyond the arc, and with the Lynx missing some of their other offensive options, I love McBride to fire away again and hit Over 2.5 threes tonight.
Lynx vs Sun SGP
- Over 167.5
- Lynx -6.5
- Kayla McBride Over 2.5 made threes
- Best bet: 11-16, -5.81 units
- SGP: 4-23, -0.45 units
- Player prop: 6-2, +3.78 units
Lynx vs Sun odds
- Spread: Minnesota -6.5 (-110) | Connecticut +6.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: Minnesota -290 | Connecticut +235
- Over/Under: Over 166.5 (-110) | Under 166.5 (-110)
Lynx vs Sun trend
The Over is 5-1-1 in the last seven meetings between Minnesota and Connecticut. Find more WNBA betting trends.
How to watch Lynx vs Sun
| Location | Mohegan Sun Arena, Uncasville, CT |
| Date | Wednesday, July 8, 2026 |
| Tip-off | 7:30 p.m. ET |
| TV | USA Network |
Lynx vs Sun latest injuries
Lynx: Napheesa Collier (ankles) and Emma Cechova (knee) ruled out.
Sun: Aneesah Morrow (personal) ruled out.
Find our latest WNBA injury reports.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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