Kings vs Warriors Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NBA Game

There are few worse sights for a struggling team than Steph Curry, and unfortunately for the Kings, the Warriors are next on the schedule.

Andrew Caley - Senior Betting Analyst at Covers.com
Andrew Caley • Senior Betting Analyst
Jan 9, 2026 • 15:06 ET • 4 min read

NBA

Jan 09 • 10:00 PM ET
GS
38 %
SAC
62 %
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Stephen Curry o29.5  Points Scored (-110) Stephen Curry o29.5 Points Scored (-110)
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Steph Curry Golden State Warriors NBA
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Golden State Warriors guard Stephen Curry (30) reacts.

The Sacramento Kings are down bad. They have just three wins dating all the way back to late November, including the last six in a row.

Things won’t get easier any time soon, as the Kings are massive 14.5-point underdogs when they visit Steph Curry and the Golden State Warriors on Friday night.

And you might have guessed it, but the NBA picks in my Kings vs. Warriors predictions are fading Sac-town in this Western Conference clash.

Kings vs Warriors prediction

Kings vs Warriors best bet: Steph Curry Over 29.5 points (-110)

Basically, Domantas Sabonis got hurt, and everything went to shit, exposing this flawed Sacramento Kings roster. The defensive end of the floor may have been hit hardest.

Sacramento has the third-worst defensive rating and opponent effective field goal percentage, with opposing guards doing most of the damage, allowing the second-most points per game.

Oh, and the Golden State Warriors have this guy you may have heard of: Steph Curry.

Curry has been on fire since Christmas, averaging 30.2 points while shooting 39.1% from three over his last six games, topping 29.5 points three times. Tonight, Curry cooks the Kings and does it again.

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Kings vs Warriors same-game parlay

Realistically, the Kings stink out loud and all over the court. They are dead last in the NBA in rebounding rate and allow the sixth most opponent assists per game. So, let’s go with Al Horford Over 4.5 rebounds and Jimmy Butler Over 4.5 assists for this SGP.

Horford has been uber-efficient on the boards lately, averaging 6.0 rebounds per game in just over 16 minutes per game in his last five games. While Butler has upped his assist numbers to 5.3 per game over his last seven.

Kings vs Warriors SGP

  • Steph Curry Over 29.5 points
  • Al Horford Over 4.5 rebounds
  • Jimmy Butler Over 4.5 assists

Our "from downtown" SGP: Making a splash

The Warriors will let it fly from three-point range tonight, so let's make a splah with a made threes parlay.

Kings vs Warriors SGP

  • Steph Curry Over 4.5 threes
  • De'Anthony Melton Over 1.5 threes
  • Moses Moody Over 1.5 threes
  • Jimmy Butler Over 0.5 threes

Kings vs Warriors odds

  • Spread: Kings +14.5 | Warriors -14.5
  • Moneyline: Kings +525 | Warriors -750
  • Over/Under: Over 230.5 | Under 230.5

Kings vs Warriors betting trend to know

The Kings have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 40 games for +14.25 Units and a 31% ROI. Find more NBA betting trends for Kings vs. Warriors.

How to watch Kings vs Warriors

Location Chase Center, San Francisco, CA
Date Friday, January 9, 2026
Tip-off 10:00 p.m. ET
TV NBCSCA, NBCSBA

Kings vs Warriors latest injuries

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Andrew Caley
Senior Betting Analyst

When his dreams of becoming the next Steve Nash died, all Andrew "Taco" Caley wanted to do was write about sports, something he's been doing at Covers for more than a decade. A Journalism School grad from Holland College in Charlottetown, PEI, Andrew previously worked at The Chronicle Herald and Star Metro, but knew in his heart that his future lay in sports. He began at Covers as a news editor and has now done everything under the sun when it comes to content. His work has been seen on TSN, Sportsnet, VSiN, and CBS. These days Andrew's betting expertise is focused on his favorite teams; the Toronto Blue Jays and Toronto Raptors. He's also an avid college football fan and bettor. He can't be friends with you if you don't appreciate a Service Academy Under. The sportsbook where he does the bulk of his betting is bet365 thanks to its numerous prop betting options and competitive odds. His best advice? Find the balance between the numbers and what you see on the playing field. Then find the best price using multiple books. And don’t ask him where the nickname Taco comes from. It's not an interesting story. Seriously.

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