Heat vs Celtics Prediction, Picks & Odds for Tonight’s NBA Game

Farmer's prediction: Celtics slow down Heat.

Douglas Farmer - Betting Analyst at Covers
Douglas Farmer • Betting Analyst
Feb 6, 2026 • 11:20 ET • 4 min read

NBA

Match starts: 5 hrs
MIA
42 %
BOS
58 %
EXPERT PICK - TOTAL
u228.0 (-110)
Read Analysis
Jaylen Brown Boston Celtics NBA
Photo By - Reuters Connect. Boston Celtics star Jaylen Brown takes a shot.

The NBA trade deadline has come and gone with neither the Miami Heat nor the Boston Celtics making seismic moves.

Miami, in particular, stands out as one of only three teams to have not made a trade this season.

My Heat vs. Celtics predictions expect Miami to be a bit let down by that inaction, the effects of the trade deadline impacting plenty of NBA picks on Friday, February 6.

Heat vs Celtics prediction

Heat vs Celtics best bet: Under 228 (-110)

The Miami Heat were supposedly in the mix for two of the biggest names on the trade market. And they walked away with exactly nothing.

We have all heard that story before, but it has to be deflating for that locker room to hear it was considering title contention only to putter forward with this middling roster.

That deflated vibe should play right into the Boston Celtics’ preferences. Miami plays at the fastest pace in the league, while Boston plays at the slowest.

Trust the Celtics to set the terms tonight.

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Heat vs Celtics same-game parlay

This exact same-game parlay has cashed in two of Boston’s last four games.

In fact, the Celtics have won against the spread in their last four games.

Heat vs Celtics SGP

  • Under 228
  • Celtics -6
  • Payton Pritchard Over 2.5 threes

Our "from downtown" SGP: Preaching Pritchard

This is simply overpriced. Payton Pritchard has hit at least three 3-pointers but fallen short of 17 points in six games this season.

A slower game should set him up for that exact dichotomy.

Heat vs Celtics SGP

  • Under 228
  • Celtics -6
  • Payton Pritchard Over 2.5 threes
  • Payton Pritchard Under 16.5 points

Heat vs Celtics odds

  • Spread: Heat +6 (-110) | Celtics -6 (-110)
  • Moneyline: Heat +195 | Celtics -240
  • Over/Under: Over 228 (-110) | Under 228 (-110)

Heat vs Celtics betting trend to know

Boston’s last seven games have all gone Under their totals, and by an average of 14.8 points. Find more NBA betting trends for Heat vs. Celtics.

How to watch Heat vs Celtics

Location TD Garden, Boston, MA
Date Friday, February 6, 2026
Tip-off 7:30 p.m. ET
TV FDSN Sun, NBC Sports Boston

Heat vs Celtics latest injuries

Not intended for use in MA.
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Douglas Farmer
Betting Analyst

Douglas Farmer spends his days thinking about college football and his nights thinking about the NBA. His betting habits and coverage follow that same pattern. He covered Notre Dame football for various outlets from 2008 to 2024, most notably spending eight seasons as NBC Sports’ beat writer on the Irish. That was also when his gambling focus took off. Knowing there were veteran beat writers with three decades more experience than he had, Douglas found his niche by best recognizing Notre Dame’s standing in each year’s national landscape, a complex tapestry most easily understood and remembered via betting odds.

In 2021, that interest created a freelance opportunity with Covers, a role that eventually led to Douglas joining the company full-time in 2023. In the fall, Douglas will place five or six dozen bets each week, a disproportionate amount via BetRivers because the operator tends to have lines slightly different than the rest of the market. The same can be said of Circa Sports’ futures markets.

While Douglas is an avid NBA fan and covers the league throughout the year, the vast majority of his bets are on college football, because that is the biggest key to sports betting: Know what you do not know.

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