The Milwaukee Bucks will be looking for a sweep of the Miami Heat when the two meet at American Airline Arena in Miami, Florida for Game 4 on Saturday, May 29. The game tips at 1:30 p.m. ET, so get ready for some high-quality hoops early in the afternoon.
Will Miami find a way to avoid the embarrassment of a first round sweep? Keep reading for our free NBA betting picks and predictions for Bucks vs. Heat.
Bucks vs Heat game info
• Location: American Airlines Arena, Miami, FL
• Date: Saturday, May 29, 2021
• Time: 1:30 p.m. ET
• TV: TNT
Bucks vs Heat odds
Odds via the Covers Line, an average comprised of odds from multiple sportsbooks.
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NBA Sharp Money and Line Movement Report
By Patrick EversonThe line opened at Bucks -3.5, with the total at 223.5. Early action favored Milwaukee and Under. Check back later for a full report from Patrick!
Check out the full line movement for this gameBucks vs Heat series odds
Bucks: -10,000
Heat: +4,000
Bucks vs Heat betting preview
Injuries
Bucks: G Donte DiVincenzo (Out).
Heat: G Victor Oladipo (Out).
Find our latest NBA injury reports.
Betting trend to know
The Bucks are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven Eastern Conference quarterfinal games. Find more NBA betting trends for Bucks vs. Heat.
Against the spread (ATS) pick
The Bucks took losing to the Heat in last year’s postseason personally — fire up the Michael Jordan meme — and they now look like they are on a mission to complete the sweep in Saturday’s game. Milwaukee hasn’t just won the first three games in this series, but the team has absolutely dominated the last two. The Bucks won Game 2 by 34 points and followed it up with a 29-point victory in Miami. With that said, Milwaukee wants to humiliate Jimmy Butler and Co., so don’t expect this group to let up in Game 4.
The Bucks were dealt a difficult blow when they found out Donte DiVincenzo would be out for the remainder of the postseason. DiVincenzo is one of the best perimeter defenders on the team, and his absence will be missed greatly in a potential second round matchup with the Nets. DiVincenzo was going to take on the responsibility of guarding either Kyrie Irving or James Harden in that series, and Milwaukee really doesn’t have many other options to fill his shoes.
However, the loss of the two-way guard isn’t as troublesome against this Heat team. Miami’s offense has been abysmal in this series, and that’s not likely to change in Game 4. The Heat are going to try desperately to pick up one victory just for pride here, but they just aren’t capable of slowing down this Bucks offense.
Both Khris Middleton and Jrue Holiday have been cooking this Miami defense, and Giannis Antetokounmpo looks like his two-time MVP self. Look for Milwaukee to continue rolling and close this thing out in a hurry.
PREDICTION: Bucks -5.0 (-110)
Over/Under pick
The Bucks are losing one of their best defenders before Game 4, but it’s still hard to imagine this Heat offense turning things around. Miami’s 40.2 percent shooting from the field in Game 2 was the team’s highest of this series thus far, and that’s just a miserable number. The team could get a little more out of Tyler Herro in this one, as Milwaukee no longer has great options to chase him around.
However, the Bucks have had Jimmy Butler’s number and are perfectly content with any Bam Adebayo touches in the mid post. Having said that, Miami just isn’t likely to put up a big number on offense. Milwaukee also won’t touch the 132 the team put up in Game 2, so it’s likely the team scores something closer to 115.
PREDICTION: Under 221.5 (-110)
Player prop pick
Forbes was scorching hot in Game 2, pouring in 22 points in just 20 minutes of action. The sniper was then given 20 minutes again in Game 3, and he scored 11 minutes in that one.
However, now that DiVincenzo is out for the playoffs, the Bucks are going to adjust on the fly and factor in Forbes’ full-time presence as a member of the rotation. With that, look for Milwaukee to prioritize getting him the ball. As bad as he is on defense, Forbes’ shooting serves a big purpose for this team. It’s nearly impossible to send help in Giannis’ direction with him on the floor.
PREDICTION: Bryn Forbes Over 11.5 Points (-110)
Bucks vs Heat betting card
- Bucks -5.0 (-110)
- Under 221.5 (-110)
- Bryn Forbes Over 11.5 Points (-110)
Picks made on 5/28/2021 at 7:15 p.m. ET
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