Playoff tension reaches new heights as the NASCAR Cup Series heads to Charlotte Motor Speedway for the unpredictable Roval. This week’s race isn’t just another left-turn slog—it's a mix of tight turns, chicanes, and infield drama where the ability to adapt is critical.
With playoff dreams on the line and elimination hanging in the balance, precision driving and opportunistic strategy become the key ingredients for success when the green flag flies for the Bank of America Roval 400 at 3:00 p.m. ET on Sunday.
As you build your NASCAR race picks for this pivotal showdown, be on the lookout for pros and drivers who bring solid value—especially those with a knack for road courses and a cool head under playoff pressure.
Instead of following the crowd with short favorites, this week’s free betting picks dive deep—zeroing in on overlooked road-course ringers and playoff sleepers poised to shake up Charlotte’s Roval chaos.
NASCAR prop picks for Bank of America Roval 400
- Top 5: Tyler Reddick (+220)
- Top 5: Chris Buescher (+325)
- Top 10: Michael McDowell (+150)
NASCAR Bank of America Roval 400 props and best bets
Top 5: Tyler Reddick (+220 at bet365)
Reddick is no longer a secret on road courses—and while books have caught up, there’s still value if he keeps it clean. He has two road wins since 2023 and consistently shows the pace to contend at the front. Add in the fact that the bookies are giving strong implied odds to New Zealand's Shane van Gisbergen, and you're getting a nice price on Reddick.
- 🏁 Road mastery — Three straight Top 10s, including sixth in 2023 and 11th in 2024.
- 📊 Aggressive playoff approach — In must-perform mode, Reddick rarely holds back.
- ⚡ Toyota Edge — His team’s setups have been dialed on twisty tracks all year.
If qualifying goes well, Reddick’s odds could shorten considerably by Sunday. At +220, it's hard not to take him.
Top 5: Chris Buescher (+325 at bet365)
Buescher is a quiet Roval threat—his results speak louder than his fanfare. Within the Playoffs, RFK Racing has kept him at the sharp end on road courses.
- 🏁 Consistent on the Roval — 10.0 average finish in the NextGen era, two Top 7s in past three starts.
- 📊 Strong restarts — Rarely loses spots when it matters most.
- ⚡ Mistake-free racing — Runs clean, avoiding the penalties that often flip results late.
At +325, Buescher delivers both upside and a safe floor for value-minded prop picks. If you're not sold on a Top 5 finish, some books are offering a decent Top 10 price on Buescher as well. The reason I'm going with the Top 5 play is that I believe he's either in it or totally outside of the Top 10. If I'm going to lose, why not try to get a bigger number, knowing that there's empirical data to support my somewhat riskier decision?
Top 10: Michael McDowell (+150 at bet365)
McDowell keeps coming up in the value conversation for good reason (even if it's hard to bet him at the right time)—his road results outpace his name recognition. He’s posted three Top 10s on road/street layouts this year alone.
- 🏁 Road-course proficiency — Two Top 5s, four Top 10s in 2025; 4th at Sonoma, 5th at Mexico City.
- 📊 Consistent execution — Avoids major mistakes, maximizes his car’s ceiling.
- ⚡ Good qualifying — Frequently starts in the top half, critical for Top 10 bets.
If you want plus odds with a legitimate shot, McDowell is the best under-the-radar option for the Roval.
💡 Why these picks stick
Reddick, Buescher, and McDowell each combine 2025 stats, recent Roval results, and playoff motivation to deliver sharper NASCAR race picks than chasing chalk. This week's free betting picks focus on value and drivers with real, current upside—perfect for surviving the chaos ahead.
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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